San Francisco @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage over Marcell Ozuna in today's game. Grading out in the 17th percentile, Marcell Ozuna sports a .269 BABIP this year.

Logan Webb will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s launch angle recently (3.4° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.2° seasonal figure.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Joc Pederson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time. Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Over the last week, Joc Pederson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%. Joc Pederson's launch angle in recent games (-1.5° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 13.8° seasonal angle. Joc Pederson has put up a .231 batting average this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

Extreme flyball hitters like Michael Harris II generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. Michael Harris II has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (4.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 8.2° mark last year. In the past 7 days, Michael Harris II's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11%.

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Logan Webb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Riley today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 7.3%. Austin Riley's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 95.8-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 93.1-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wade Meckler in today's matchup. Wade Meckler has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) in the last week. Wade Meckler has been cold lately, posting a 74.9-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Over the last week, Thairo Estrada's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph in recent games. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.2% to 18.9%. Posting a .334 BABIP this year, Thairo Estrada is ranked in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. J.D. Davis has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.5-mph.

The 4th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The 4th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Wilmer Flores's launch angle this season (24.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 20.3° mark last season. In the last week's worth of games, Wilmer Flores's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 4th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 4th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup.

The 4th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Patrick Bailey's 56.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.7%.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.

The 4th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos today. Over the last 7 days, Brandon Crawford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph lately.

The 4th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Nicky Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis d'Arnaud in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Travis d'Arnaud will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Blake Sabol will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. In the last week, Blake Sabol's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph of late.