Atlanta @ Chicago Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley in today's matchup.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 6th-most favorable for pitching on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of all the teams playing today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nico Hoerner's 34.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.8%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Nick Madrigal has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Nick Madrigal tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried. Nick Madrigal's 1.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 2nd percentile this year. Since the start of last season, Nick Madrigal's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 5th percentile at 85.1 mph.

Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Miguel Amaya will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Ian Happ will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Sean Murphy has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last year to 17.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Christopher Morel is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 11th-best hitter in baseball. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Seiya Suzuki will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Orlando Arcia has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.9-mph average. Orlando Arcia's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 40.6% on the season to 53.3% in the past week. Checking in at the 91st percentile, Orlando Arcia has posted a .290 batting average this year.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball batters like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Patrick Wisdom will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Patrick Wisdom pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Patrick Wisdom with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Ozzie Albies has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91.4-mph over the last week. Ozzie Albies's launch angle recently (20.8° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 16.4° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Marcell Ozuna has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 15.3% seasonal rate to 28% in the last 14 days. Marcell Ozuna has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.5-mph mark.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 5.5% rate last year to 10.6% this season. Eddie Rosario has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.6-mph figure.

Yan Gomes is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense. Yan Gomes will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.