Boston @ Seattle Picks & Props

16% of the time that Jarren Duran has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early. T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 venue in MLB for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 8th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the league for righty base hits. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 8th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today. Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 96th percentile with a 23.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball. Sporting a 1.86 K/BB rate this year, Jose Caballero has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 78th percentile.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Kolten Wong will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kolten Wong will hold that advantage in today's game. Kolten Wong has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph to 92.7-mph in the last 7 days. Over the last week, Kolten Wong's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.215) implies that Yu Chang since the start of last season with his .193 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Alex Verdugo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today. Using Statcast metrics, Alex Verdugo is in the 81st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .277.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Eugenio Suarez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 20.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today. Connor Wong has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark. Connor Wong has recorded a .358 BABIP this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today.

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .300 mark is deflated compared to his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rafael Devers projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Julio Rodriguez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.9% to 20%.

Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mike Ford has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 95.1-mph in the past week. In notching a .323 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Mike Ford is ranked in the 75th percentile.

Tom Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tom Murphy will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Tom Murphy has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 17.2% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the last 14 days. Tom Murphy has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 97.4-mph. Tom Murphy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 23% on the season to 33.3% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Triston Casas is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over George Kirby today. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Cade Marlowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Cade Marlowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Cade Marlowe has been hot recently, cruising to a .403 wOBA in the past week. In the past 7 days, Cade Marlowe has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power).

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among every team playing today. In the last 7 days, Adam Duvall's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 22.2%. Over the past 7 days, Adam Duvall's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 102.7-mph recently.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.