Cincinnati @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Michael Grove Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck this year. His .324 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295. a 5.11 K/BB rate this year, Elly De La Cruz has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 8th percentile.

29% of the time that David Peralta has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for. David Peralta has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, David Peralta's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 90.6 mph to 84.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson as the 19th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tyler Stephenson has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 50.4% on the season to 59.1% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Max Muncy is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Hitters such as James Outman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Graham Ashcraft who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 96.7-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Matt McLain has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 92.1-mph over the past 7 days.

Graham Ashcraft will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts today. Mookie Betts has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph dropping to 89.9-mph in the past week. Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, posting a .400 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .382 — a .018 disparity.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Fraley ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Grove today.

Freddie Freeman has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the past week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive ability to be a .399, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .017 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .416 wOBA.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Over the past 7 days, Spencer Steer's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph recently.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jason Heyward hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Joey Votto will have the handedness advantage against Michael Grove in today's game. This season, Joey Votto has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.4 mph compared to last year's 94.8 mph mark.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Grove in today's matchup. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Will Benson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 25%.

Miguel Rojas's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Miguel Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Amed Rosario has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.