Baltimore @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Tyler Wells will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harold Ramirez in today's matchup. Harold Ramirez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards the league's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team playing today.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Tyler Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team playing today. Yandy Diaz is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Baltimore (#3-best of the day).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jordan Westburg pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Tropicana Field. Over the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph recently. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.7% to 20.5%.

Aaron Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wander Franco as the 12th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average skill. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Tropicana Field. Wander Franco will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Wander Franco's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 86.2-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Tropicana Field. Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.4% to 18.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.286) suggests that Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck this year with his .233 actual batting average. Adam Frazier has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

Gunnar Henderson's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley today. Gunnar Henderson has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Wells in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Wells in today's matchup. Luke Raley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Luke Raley has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 29.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°.

Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Austin Hays is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 16.1% to 20.3%. Placing in the 96th percentile, Austin Hays sports a .368 BABIP this year.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 17th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Tropicana Field. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Manuel Margot will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ryan Mountcastle has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.