Baltimore @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The #4 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Grayson Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore's #1-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Yandy Diaz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wander Franco as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Tropicana Field. Wander Franco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Wander Franco has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Tropicana Field. Gunnar Henderson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 95.1-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .352 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Gunnar Henderson has performed in the 79th percentile.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's game. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (21°) is a significant increase over his 15.5° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 21°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.2° mark over the past 14 days. Ranking in the 95th percentile, Isaac Paredes sits with a .385 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.3% rate last season to 16.4% this season. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 15.8% to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Shane McClanahan. Adley Rutschman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.2-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Anthony Santander ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Shane McClanahan. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Anthony Santander has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Austin Hays is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Austin Hays has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.1% to 20.3% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Ryan Mountcastle will have the handedness advantage over Shane McClanahan today. Ryan Mountcastle has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph average.

Aaron Hicks is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Shane McClanahan. Aaron Hicks pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Aaron Hicks has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 75th percentile with a 1.88 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph figure. Randy Arozarena has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.9-mph in the last 14 days.

Rene Pinto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan today. Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Placing in the 85th percentile, Ramon Urias sits with a .339 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Raley's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (29.4° in the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 12.3° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Baltimore's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Brandon Lowe, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20.1°) is significantly higher than his 16.4° figure last year.

In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Jorge Mateo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side this year. His .267 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.07 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is remarkably toolsy.

James McCann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan today. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.2% to 18.6%. James McCann has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .194 BA is quite a bit lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. James McCann's 90-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the game since the start of last season: 75th percentile. The standard deviation of James McCann's launch angle since the start of last season (26°) is in the 85th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Adam Frazier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Colton Cowser has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.