Baltimore @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Kyle Bradish will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jordan Westburg pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Santander tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Zach Eflin.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Wander Franco is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Wander Franco will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.2-mph figure.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph mark. Colton Cowser's launch angle in recent games (0.6° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his -3.5° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. In the past week's worth of games, Adley Rutschman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 23.1%. Compared to last season, Adley Rutschman has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.7% to 20.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 18th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average ability. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Harold Ramirez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Luke Raley is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Isaac Paredes has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last season's 15.5° to 20.6° this year.

Aaron Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. With a 1.74 K/BB rate this year, Aaron Hicks has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Zach Eflin in today's game. Adam Frazier has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week. Adam Frazier's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (29.8° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 12.3° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 7.9% rate last year to 14.4% this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Jose Siri has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Ryan Mountcastle has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.