Los Angeles @ Baltimore Picks & Props

28% of the time that David Peralta has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for David Peralta in today's matchup. David Peralta has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Over the past 7 days, David Peralta's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 90.8 mph to 82 mph.

Ryan Mountcastle has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 6th percentile with a 5.38 K/BB rate. Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a .266 BABIP this year, checking in at the 18th percentile.

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game. Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage against Miguel Rojas in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Rojas in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Gunnar Henderson's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage today. Gunnar Henderson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 95.2-mph over the last week.

Freddie Freeman has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the best out of every team on the slate today. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Dean Kremer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts today. Mookie Betts pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's deepest LF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the best out of every team on the slate today. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the past 7 days, Mookie Betts's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Max Muncy is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Austin Barnes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .164 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Barnes has had some very poor luck given the .124 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jordan Westburg has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Urias in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Julio Urias.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. James Outman pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. James Outman's launch angle of late (7° over the last 7 days) is significantly worse than his 17.5° seasonal figure.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Julio Urias. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today.

Austin Hays's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Hays is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage against Julio Urias in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Urias in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

Aaron Hicks is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Julio Urias. Aaron Hicks will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Jason Heyward pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Jason Heyward's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 39% to 45.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. Jorge Mateo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Urias today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has been unlucky this year. His .270 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. James McCann will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Urias in today's matchup. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. James McCann will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Colton Cowser has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Adam Frazier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.