Boston @ Oakland Picks & Props

15% of the time that Jarren Duran has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oakland Coliseum as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Oakland Coliseum has the 10th-deepest right field fences among all parks. Built just 0 feet above sea level, Oakland Coliseum has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. This matchup is predicted to have the most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Alfaro as the 8th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Shea Langeliers will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Murphy in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Murphy has a large platoon split. Shea Langeliers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Shea Langeliers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.3% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida as the 17th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Masataka Yoshida will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Medina in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 37.8% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.

Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Over the past week, Yu Chang's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 20%. Yu Chang has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 99.3-mph in the past week's worth of games. In the past week, Yu Chang's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. As it relates to his batting average, Rob Refsnyder has had bad variance on his side this year. His .272 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .295.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Medina in today's matchup. Over the past week, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 44.4%. Over the past 14 days, Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph recently.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Justin Turner ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 19% on the season to 33.3% in the past two weeks. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Justin Turner has notched a .359 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Medina today. By putting up a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Alex Verdugo grades out in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Brent Rooker will have the handedness advantage against Chris Murphy today... and moreover, Murphy has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Arroyo in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Zack Gelof will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Murphy today... and even better, Murphy has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. Connor Wong's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (25.5° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 14° seasonal mark. Connor Wong has notched a .344 BABIP this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Luis Medina today. Over the last 7 days, Triston Casas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 37.5%. Triston Casas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 106.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 96.3-mph. Over the last week, Triston Casas's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

Tony Kemp has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Tony Kemp will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Tony Kemp has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last season's 84.2-mph EV. Over the past two weeks, Tony Kemp's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Aledmys Diaz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Murphy today... and even better, Murphy has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Aledmys Diaz will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Aledmys Diaz's true offensive ability to be a .305, implying that he this year given the .061 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .244 wOBA.

Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. In the past week's worth of games, Adam Duvall's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 109.3-mph recently. Adam Duvall's launch angle this year (26.6°) is quite a bit better than his 23.4° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Diaz in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jordan Diaz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Oakland Coliseum has the 9th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Jordan Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Murphy in today's game... and the cherry on top, Murphy has a large platoon split.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Allen will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Murphy today... and the cherry on top, Murphy has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Allen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Nick Allen's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.2% up to 16.7%. Nick Allen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 16.1% on the season to 33.3% over the last week.

Ryan Noda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Ryan Noda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ryan Noda has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days. Sporting a .363 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Ryan Noda is positioned in the 89th percentile for offensive skills.

JJ Bleday has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Seth Brown has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Soderstrom has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.