Los Angeles @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today. Grayson Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Miguel Rojas in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Rojas in today's game. Miguel Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 89.3-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 83.2-mph over the past 7 days. Miguel Rojas has notched a .244 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile.

Emmet Sheehan will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Hays in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the best infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 39.3% on the season to 14.3% over the past 7 days. Austin Hays has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .310 rate is a fair amount higher than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grayson Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage over Mookie Betts in today's game. Mookie Betts pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest LF fences today. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Mookie Betts has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 12.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days. Despite posting a .413 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has experienced some positive variance given the .029 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .384.

Today, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.5% rate (84th percentile). Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the past week, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%. Over the past week, Freddie Freeman's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.8%.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Aaron Hicks pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Hicks has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 86th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Adam Frazier's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams today. Chris Taylor has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94-mph average to last year's 91.8-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Outman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. James Outman pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams today. James Outman and his 19.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today. Jordan Westburg is very athletic, checking in at the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.26 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 12th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's game. Colton Cowser will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Santander has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.4% seasonal rate to 40% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Max Muncy is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan Mountcastle has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

David Peralta's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Grayson Rodriguez today. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams today.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage over Grayson Rodriguez today. Jason Heyward pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams today. Using Statcast metrics, Jason Heyward is in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .347.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ramon Urias has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences today. Ramon Urias will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In notching a .337 BABIP this year, Ramon Urias grades out in the 83rd percentile.

J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.