Boston @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Masataka Yoshida has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Jared Young will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Jared Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Ian Happ has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among every team on the slate today. Nico Hoerner's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 81.8-mph in the last week. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.5°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-20.5°) over the last two weeks.

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Cody Bellinger will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Cody Bellinger has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Miles Mastrobuoni will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Miles Mastrobuoni will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Mike Tauchman will hold that advantage today.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Trey Mancini will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Trey Mancini's true offensive ability to be a .322, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .035 gap between that figure and his actual .287 wOBA.

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Yu Chang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele in today's game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Yu Chang's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.4% to 21.6%.

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Yan Gomes will hold that advantage today. Yan Gomes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 20.4%. Yan Gomes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.4% on the season to 26.3% in the past two weeks.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele today. Kike Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Kike Hernandez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.3° angle in the last 14 days. Kike Hernandez has been unlucky this year, notching a .268 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .044 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's game. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. In the past 14 days, Connor Wong has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 23.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 14°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Alfaro as the 8th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Jorge Alfaro will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Jorge Alfaro's 11.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In comparison to his 89.5-mph average last year, Seiya Suzuki's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.1 mph. Seiya Suzuki's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 42.8% to 47.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Justin Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele today. Extreme groundball batters like Justin Turner tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Steele.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Arroyo in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Christian Arroyo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele in today's game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today. Christian Arroyo has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), checking in at the 94th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Christopher Morel will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Adam Duvall will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Adam Duvall tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Justin Steele.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jarren Duran has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.