Los Angeles @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Andrew Velazquez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Andrew Velazquez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .201 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .220.

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Mike Moustakas will have the handedness advantage over Tony Gonsolin today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game. Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mookie Betts has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.

Hunter Renfroe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.1°, Hunter Renfroe has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 28.6° mark in the past 7 days.

James Outman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. James Outman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. James Outman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.5-mph. James Outman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 17.1% on the season to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games. James Outman and his 20.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Taylor Ward hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks, Taylor Ward's 59.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.7%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Taylor Ward's true offensive skill to be a .363, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .055 disparity between that figure and his actual .308 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Max Muncy is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Max Muncy has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 93.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Miguel Rojas has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph average. Miguel Rojas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .246 rate is quite a bit lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Freddie Freeman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days. Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Luis Rengifo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luis Rengifo has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.2% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last week's worth of games. In the last two weeks, Luis Rengifo's 41.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%. Luis Rengifo has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .218 figure is a good deal lower than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. David Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and David Peralta will hold that advantage in today's game. David Peralta has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 95.1-mph in the past week.

Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage over Tony Gonsolin in today's matchup. Sporting a 1.87 K/BB rate this year, Matt Thaiss has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 75th percentile. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Matt Thaiss has put up a .335 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jason Heyward ranks in the 84th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .356. Jason Heyward has posted a .353 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 79th percentile. Jason Heyward has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Eduardo Escobar has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.