Final May 21
CIN 1 -121 o8.0
PIT 3 +112 u8.0
Final May 21
CLE 5 +135 o7.5
MIN 6 -147 u7.5
Final May 21
HOU 4 -158 o8.0
TB 8 +145 u8.0
Final May 21
CHC 2 -137 o9.0
MIA 1 +126 u9.0
Final (11) May 21
BAL 8 -106 o8.5
MIL 4 -102 u8.5
Final May 21
DET 5 +103 o9.0
STL 1 -111 u9.0
Final May 21
SEA 6 -143 o8.5
CHW 5 +132 u8.5
Final May 21
KC 8 +190 o7.5
SF 4 -210 u7.5
Final May 21
CLE 5 +105 o7.5
MIN 1 -113 u7.5
Final May 21
NYM 5 +130 o7.0
BOS 1 -141 u7.0
Final May 21
TEX 3 +102 o7.5
NYY 4 -110 u7.5
Final May 21
SD 0 +146 o9.0
TOR 14 -159 u9.0
Final May 21
PHI 9 -181 o11.0
COL 5 +165 u11.0
Final May 21
LAA 10 +134 o10.0
ATH 5 -146 u10.0
Final May 21
AZ 1 +133 o9.5
LAD 3 -144 u9.5
NBCSCA, NESN

Oakland @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shea Langeliers Total Hits Props • Oakland

Shea Langeliers
S. Langeliers
catcher C • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shea Langeliers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's matchup... and moreover, Walter has a huge platoon split.

Shea Langeliers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Shea Langeliers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's matchup... and moreover, Walter has a huge platoon split.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

17% of the time that Jarren Duran has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.4-mph mark last year has dropped to 89-mph. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (0.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 6.5° seasonal mark.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

17% of the time that Jarren Duran has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.4-mph mark last year has dropped to 89-mph. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (0.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 6.5° seasonal mark.

Jordan Diaz Total Hits Props • Oakland

Jordan Diaz
J. Diaz
third base 3B • Oakland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

58% of the time that Jordan Diaz has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Diaz today. Jordan Diaz's 4.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 12th percentile.

Jordan Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

58% of the time that Jordan Diaz has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Diaz today. Jordan Diaz's 4.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 12th percentile.

Brent Rooker Total Hits Props • Oakland

Brent Rooker
B. Rooker
left outfield LF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brent Rooker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's game... and even more favorably, Walter has a huge platoon split.

Brent Rooker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brent Rooker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's game... and even more favorably, Walter has a huge platoon split.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

Justin Turner
J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Luis Medina will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Justin Turner's launch angle this year (14.5°) is considerably lower than his 18.6° angle last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that Justin Turner has been lucky this year with his .357 actual wOBA.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Luis Medina will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Justin Turner's launch angle this year (14.5°) is considerably lower than his 18.6° angle last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that Justin Turner has been lucky this year with his .357 actual wOBA.

Ryan Noda Total Hits Props • Oakland

Ryan Noda
R. Noda
first base 1B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Noda is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ryan Noda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ryan Noda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan Noda is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ryan Noda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Verdugo ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 8.2° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Alex Verdugo is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Verdugo ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 8.2° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in baseball.

Aledmys Diaz Total Hits Props • Oakland

Aledmys Diaz
A. Diaz
shortstop SS • Oakland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aledmys Diaz's BABIP talent is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Aledmys Diaz has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aledmys Diaz today. Last season, Aledmys Diaz had a launch angle of 9.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 5.8°.

Aledmys Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Aledmys Diaz's BABIP talent is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Aledmys Diaz has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aledmys Diaz today. Last season, Aledmys Diaz had a launch angle of 9.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 5.8°.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average ability, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 17th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When assessing his batting average ability, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 17th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Sporting a .262 BABIP this year, Rafael Devers has performed in the 16th percentile.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Oakland Athletics. Sporting a .262 BABIP this year, Rafael Devers has performed in the 16th percentile.

Yu Chang Total Hits Props • Boston

Yu Chang
Y. Chang
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Yu Chang will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Yu Chang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Yu Chang will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

Adam Duvall
A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Tony Kemp Total Hits Props • Oakland

Tony Kemp
T. Kemp
second base 2B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Tony Kemp hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Tony Kemp has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 84.2-mph mark.

Tony Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Tony Kemp hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Tony Kemp has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 84.2-mph mark.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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