Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Harold Ramirez has been pinch hit for 34% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the worst venue in baseball for RHB batting average. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Harold Ramirez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Harold Ramirez are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the worst venue in baseball for RHB batting average. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez. Over the last week, Yandy Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (-4.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 4.9° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Shawn Armstrong in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In comparison to his 89.2-mph average last year, Brandon Marsh's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.1 mph. Grading out in the 76th percentile, Brandon Marsh sits with a .349 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shawn Armstrong in today's game. Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Kyle Schwarber's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the worst venue in baseball for RHB batting average. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Tropicana Field. Trea Turner's launch angle this season (15.6°) is significantly better than his 9.7° mark last season. Despite posting a .301 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trea Turner has had bad variance on his side given the .050 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .351.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Alec Bohm has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 93.4-mph over the past 7 days. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Shawn Armstrong today. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 42.5% on the season to 55.6% in the last two weeks. Checking in at the 96th percentile, Bryson Stott has put up a .306 batting average this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Shawn Armstrong in today's matchup. Garrett Stubbs pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

In the majors, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 4th-shallowest. Darick Hall will have the handedness advantage over Shawn Armstrong in today's matchup. Darick Hall has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 95.8-mph in the past week.

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shawn Armstrong in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Harper has experienced some negative variance this year. His .353 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .388.

Manuel Margot's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manuel Margot will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Manuel Margot has been unlucky this year. His .301 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

The 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Tropicana Field. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (21°) is significantly better than his 16.4° figure last season.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Isaac Paredes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.