New York @ Arizona props

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 21%. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 84.6-mph over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Brett Baty's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Davies in today's game. Brett Baty's launch angle recently (16.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 7.7° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today. Hitters such as Alek Thomas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Scherzer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Evan Longoria ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Evan Longoria is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Over the last week, Francisco Lindor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.4% up to 20%.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences in the majors. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 21%. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Francisco Alvarez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks. Francisco Alvarez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 94.3-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Nick Ahmed will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Starling Marte's true offensive skill to be a .332, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .050 deviation between that figure and his actual .282 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Tommy Pham has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8% rate last season to 15.1% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Daniel Vogelbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Davies today. In the past 14 days, Daniel Vogelbach's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph in recent games. Over the past two weeks, Daniel Vogelbach has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 29.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Max Scherzer today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Carson Kelly, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Gabriel Moreno has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.