San Diego @ Cincinnati props

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup.

Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Matt McLain in today's matchup. Matt McLain hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt McLain's true offensive talent to be a .316, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .075 gap between that figure and his actual .391 wOBA. By putting up a 4.74 K/BB rate this year, Matt McLain has displayed bad plate discipline, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan India today. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Over the last week, Jonathan India's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%. Jonathan India's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.2-mph in the past week's worth of games. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, falling from 42.7% on the season to 18.2% over the past two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Elly De La Cruz pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup.

Graham Ashcraft will have the handedness advantage over Xander Bogaerts today. Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Xander Bogaerts has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 85.2-mph over the last 14 days. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this season (6°) is significantly worse than his 10.1° figure last season. As it relates to his batting average, Xander Bogaerts has been lucky this year. His .260 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Matt Carpenter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Fraley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gary Sanchez pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Rougned Odor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rougned Odor stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Rougned Odor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Votto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Joey Votto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 venue in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Will Benson will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage today. Will Benson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark.

Manny Machado has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.