Philadelphia @ Chicago Picks & Props

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 18th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Schwarber's true offensive skill to be a .373, indicating that he this year given the .043 gap between that figure and his actual .330 wOBA. Kyle Schwarber has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field has the 8th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Ian Happ will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryce Harper has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Harper has experienced some negative variance this year. His .345 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .391.

Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Cody Bellinger will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Mike Tauchman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate today. Among every team today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner today. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 89.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 87.1-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage against Drew Smyly in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Cristian Pache will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) provides evidence that Cristian Pache has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .185 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field has the 8th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Nick Madrigal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nick Madrigal has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph to 90.9-mph in the last 14 days.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field has the 8th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Yan Gomes will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field has the 8th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Josh Harrison will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly in today's matchup.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field has the 8th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa's launch angle in recent games (30.4° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 13.3° seasonal angle.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bryson Stott has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Brandon Marsh has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Nico Hoerner has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.