Cincinnati @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 7th-deepest fences among all major league parks — generally bad for dingers. Austin Hays's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 88-mph over the last 14 days. Austin Hays's launch angle lately (-0.5° over the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 12.2° seasonal mark. Austin Hays has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .319 BA is a fair amount higher than his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today. Jordan Westburg will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Abbott.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Fraley in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jake Fraley is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Wells in today's game. Jake Fraley has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.9% seasonal rate to 19% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Jorge Mateo will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today. Jorge Mateo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jorge Mateo has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .273 rate is considerably lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Abbott. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Spencer Steer has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 14 days. Spencer Steer has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.1-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Joey Votto will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Wells today. Joey Votto has been lifting the ball well in recent games, posting a 37.7° launch angle over the last week. Joey Votto has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 18.9° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (95th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Elly De La Cruz pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Elly De La Cruz has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB over the last week — 116.6-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.

Aaron Hicks is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Andrew Abbott. Aaron Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Luke Maile has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.4% rate last year to 13% this season. Luke Maile has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.5-mph average to last season's 84.5-mph mark. Luke Maile's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 36.9% to 42.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McKenna in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 field in baseball for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. Ryan McKenna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Ryan McKenna will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Curt Casali has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Cedric Mullins has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Will Benson has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.