Cincinnati @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Nick Senzel is penciled in 6th in the batting order today. Nick Senzel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Nick Senzel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 15.8% to 8.8%. Nick Senzel has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .247 BA is a fair amount higher than his .229 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Nick Senzel's 4.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 18th percentile this year.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field dimensions in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team in action today. Austin Hays's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 88-mph over the past two weeks. Austin Hays's launch angle recently (-0.4° in the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 12.6° seasonal angle. Austin Hays has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .318 rate is a fair amount higher than his .267 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards MLB's deepest LF fences today. Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, posting a .363 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .033 disparity.

Elly De La Cruz pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Elly De La Cruz has been cold of late, posting a 3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last two weeks. Despite posting a .422 wOBA this year, THE BAT X believes Elly De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance given the .111 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest left field dimensions in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Matt McLain will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Matt McLain has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Matt McLain's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 86.4-mph over the past two weeks.

Adley Rutschman has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past 7 days. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 45.2% on the season to 12.5% in the last week's worth of games.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 park in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jonathan India will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Irvin in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Cedric Mullins II in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 park in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 park in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Joey Votto has been hot of late, notching a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the last week.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ramon Urias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's game. Ramon Urias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's game. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Brandon Williamson. Anthony Santander will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Aaron Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Brandon Williamson. Aaron Hicks will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Ryan McKenna in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ryan McKenna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson today. Ryan McKenna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's matchup. Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jorge Mateo has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .272 mark is deflated compared to his .332 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Curt Casali will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Irvin today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the league for righty base hits, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Luke Maile will hold the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Luke Maile has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 5.4% rate last year to 13% this year.

Adam Frazier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Newman has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.