Houston @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
HOU vs LAD Picks
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HOU vs LAD Consensus Picks
62% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksHOU 132, LAD 215
66% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksHOU 74, LAD 145
65% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksHOU 118, LAD 215
HOU vs LAD Props
Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
THE BAT X projects Miguel Vargas in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Dodger Stadium projects as the #10 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so James Outman is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game. Extreme groundball batters like James Outman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. James Outman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston
Chas McCormick has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Chas McCormick has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 15% in the last 14 days. Chas McCormick has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.1-mph mark. Chas McCormick's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (25.6° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 21° seasonal mark.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
THE BAT X projects Jose Altuve in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Dodger Stadium has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Jose Altuve has compiled a .351 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile for hitting ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Michael Busch Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Dodger Stadium projects as the #10 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Dodger Stadium has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Michael Busch is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Dodger Stadium has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Jeremy Pena has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .253 BA is a fair amount lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston
Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Dodger Stadium has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Martin Maldonado has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV. Martin Maldonado has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .182 rate is deflated compared to his .203 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston
THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Alex Bregman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 40.5% on the season to 75% in the past 7 days.
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
THE BAT X projects Yainer Diaz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Dodger Stadium has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Yainer Diaz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.9-mph.
Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston
Kyle Tucker projects as the 16th-best hitter in the game, per THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Dodger Stadium projects as the #10 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage over Tony Gonsolin today. The Los Angeles Dodgers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Corey Julks Total Hits Props • Houston
Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Dodger Stadium has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Corey Julks has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week's worth of games. Corey Julks has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 90-mph. Corey Julks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 17% on the season to 36.4% over the last 7 days.
Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
THE BAT X projects Mookie Betts in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Dodger Stadium has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Extreme groundball bats like Mookie Betts tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
THE BAT X projects Freddie Freeman as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Dodger Stadium projects as the #10 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Dodger Stadium has the 10th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Freddie Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
THE BAT X projects Miguel Rojas in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Miguel Rojas has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph average. Miguel Rojas has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .226 figure is considerably lower than his .303 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston
THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Abreu is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #10 park in MLB for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Jose Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jose Abreu has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.7-mph average.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Dodger Stadium projects as the #10 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Jason Heyward hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jason Heyward will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
David Peralta Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
THE BAT X projects David Peralta in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. David Peralta has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Dodger Stadium projects as the #10 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so David Peralta is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.
Bligh Madris Total Hits Props • Houston
Bligh Madris has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston
Mauricio Dubon has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
HOU vs LAD Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 69 games (+13.15 Units / 13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.35 Units / 40% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 68% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 56 games (-11.55 Units / -19% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 76 games (-10.75 Units / -12% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 19 games (-10.10 Units / -39% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 28 games (-7.35 Units / -23% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 32 of their last 59 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+10.05 Units / 16% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+7.80 Units / 9% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+7.60 Units / 9% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 72 games (-19.70 Units / -23% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 74 games (-18.60 Units / -21% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 68 games (-16.95 Units / -20% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 68 games (-15.45 Units / -15% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 68 games (-15.35 Units / -20% ROI)
HOU vs LAD Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||