Boston @ Chicago Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Seby Zavala has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Seby Zavala are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Seby Zavala will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.1-mph figure last season has fallen off to 87.9-mph. Andrew Benintendi has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.3-mph.

Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage against Tim Anderson in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Tim Anderson tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today. Tim Anderson's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.6-mph over the past two weeks. Tim Anderson's launch angle lately (-5.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 0.3° seasonal figure.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Adam Duvall's launch angle recently (29.7° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 24.4° seasonal figure.

THE BAT X projects Jake Burger in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Connor Wong's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (17.6° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.2° seasonal angle.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elvis Andrus will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Elvis Andrus has been unlucky this year, notching a .250 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .047 deviation.

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Masataka Yoshida will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zach Remillard will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Zach Remillard has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, striking balls between -4° and 26° 66.7% of the time over the past week.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Justin Turner has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Luis Robert in the 98th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

THE BAT X projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andrew Vaughn has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kike Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .280 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .032 gap.

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Eloy Jimenez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Arroyo has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.5% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the past 14 days.

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #5 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.