New York @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Rodolfo Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Rodolfo Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 17.3% on the season to 25% in the last week's worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield among all parks — generally bad for home runs. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against Starling Marte in today's matchup. Starling Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Starling Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.5-mph in the past week's worth of games. Starling Marte has notched a .292 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. PNC Park projects as the #7 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield among all parks — generally bad for home runs. Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 16.7% to 10.6%.

Carlos Carrasco will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen today. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-deepest LF fences today. Andrew McCutchen has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks. Andrew McCutchen's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.1-mph over the past 14 days. Andrew McCutchen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 14.9% on the season to 0% over the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.

Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup.

Connor Joe is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. PNC Park projects as the #7 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. PNC Park projects as the #7 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°.

PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today. Daniel Vogelbach has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate.

PNC Park projects as the #7 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Mark Vientos has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 7 days. Mark Vientos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 13.8% on the season to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Omar Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game. Omar Narvaez is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20.9% rate since the start of last season).

PNC Park projects as the #7 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Austin Hedges will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

PNC Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Tucupita Marcano will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tucupita Marcano can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. PNC Park projects as the #7 park in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Mark Canha has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Ji-Hwan Bae has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bryan Reynolds has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.