Cincinnati @ St. Louis Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Tommy Edman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Tommy Edman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph figure. Tommy Edman has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .245 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .269 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Dylan Carlson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Dylan Carlson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 86-mph average. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.5% to 20%.

THE BAT X projects Elly De La Cruz as the 10th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Elly De La Cruz has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 33.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last week's worth of games. Elly De La Cruz has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the last 7 days — 114.8-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.

THE BAT X projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Matt McLain has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 7 days. Matt McLain has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Jonathan India's launch angle of late (24.1° over the last week) is considerably better than his 13.9° seasonal figure. Jonathan India has put up a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.8-mph. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle in recent games (23.8° over the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 10.8° seasonal angle. Tyler Stephenson has posted a .340 BABIP this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Jordan Walker tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Spencer Steer's launch angle of late (22.6° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 18° seasonal figure. Spencer Steer has put up a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile. Spencer Steer has posted a .280 batting average this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Luke Maile has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 5.4% rate last season to 15% this season. Luke Maile's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16.9% to 20%.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.1-mph. Nolan Arenado has put up a .274 batting average this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Paul DeJong's launch angle in recent games (22.6° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 18.1° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Stuart Fairchild in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Stuart Fairchild has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.7% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past week. Stuart Fairchild has compiled a .329 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile.

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Extreme flyball hitters like Willson Contreras generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Curt Casali has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 2.35 K/BB rate.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report the most humid conditions of all games today at 86%. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Wainwright today. Will Benson has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.1% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week. Will Benson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph EV. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 15.2% on the season to 18.2% in the last week.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.