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Arizona @ Detroit props

Comerica Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Zach McKinstry has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF dimensions among all parks.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Zach McKinstry has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF dimensions among all parks.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF dimensions among all parks. Javier Baez's launch angle in recent games (-11.3° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably worse than his 8.2° seasonal angle. Javier Baez has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the past week. Javier Baez has posted a .278 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 7th percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Javier Baez has posted a .258 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 6th percentile.

Javier Baez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF dimensions among all parks. Javier Baez's launch angle in recent games (-11.3° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably worse than his 8.2° seasonal angle. Javier Baez has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the past week. Javier Baez has posted a .278 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 7th percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Javier Baez has posted a .258 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 6th percentile.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Moreno in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup... and moreover, Boyd has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Moreno in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup... and moreover, Boyd has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Rogers will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Rogers will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Zack Short Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. Short
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Zack Short will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Zack Short's launch angle in recent games (31.5° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.9° seasonal figure.

Zack Short

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Zack Short will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Zack Short's launch angle in recent games (31.5° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.9° seasonal figure.

Nick Maton Total Hits Props • Detroit

N. Maton
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Nick Maton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Maton will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Nick Maton will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Nick Maton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Maton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Maton will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's matchup. Nick Maton will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Detroit

E. Haase
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Eric Haase is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Eric Haase will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .045 gap.

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Eric Haase is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Eric Haase will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .045 gap.

Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Longoria
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Evan Longoria in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Evan Longoria is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Evan Longoria will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game... and moreover, Boyd has a large platoon split.

Evan Longoria

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Evan Longoria in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Evan Longoria is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Evan Longoria will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game... and moreover, Boyd has a large platoon split.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's matchup... and even better, Boyd has a large platoon split.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's matchup... and even better, Boyd has a large platoon split.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

P. Smith
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Comerica Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day. Pavin Smith has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.7% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last week. Pavin Smith has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day. Pavin Smith has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.7% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last week. Pavin Smith has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Ahmed will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd today... and the cherry on top, Boyd has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Ahmed will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd today... and the cherry on top, Boyd has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Spencer Torkelson in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Spencer Torkelson in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Marisnick Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Marisnick
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Marisnick will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Marisnick has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .257 figure is considerably lower than his .279 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake Marisnick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Marisnick will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Marisnick has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .257 figure is considerably lower than his .279 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Comerica Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day. Jake McCarthy has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 85.8-mph figure.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Comerica Park profiles as the #6 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of the day. Jake McCarthy has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 85.8-mph figure.

Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit

A. Ibanez
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Andy Ibanez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andy Ibanez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph figure. Andy Ibanez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .225 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .315 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Andy Ibanez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Comerica Park grades out as the #6 stadium in MLB for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Andy Ibanez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andy Ibanez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph figure. Andy Ibanez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .225 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .315 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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