Cincinnati @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jake Fraley's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 15.9% to 20.3%. Jake Fraley's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 20.3% on the season to 28.6% over the last 7 days. Jake Fraley has shown favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 84th percentile with a 1.59 K/BB rate.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the best on the slate today. Kevin Newman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Kevin Newman has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Dylan Carlson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 86-mph EV. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 16.5% to 20.5%. Dylan Carlson has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .276 figure is a fair amount lower than his .325 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Matt McLain will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Matt McLain hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Jonathan India will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Jonathan India has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph.

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage against Ben Lively in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Lively today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jordan Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 104-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.2-mph.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Tommy Edman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Tommy Edman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph mark. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 11.4% to 15.3%.

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Willson Contreras has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 7 days.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Spencer Steer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Spencer Steer's launch angle of late (23.3° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 18° seasonal angle. Spencer Steer has compiled a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson's launch angle in recent games (23.6° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 10.4° seasonal angle. Tyler Stephenson has posted a .336 BABIP this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Paul DeJong will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Paul DeJong's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (23.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 17.6° seasonal angle.

The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Lively in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alec Burleson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark. Nolan Arenado's launch angle in recent games (22.8° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 17.1° seasonal figure.

THE BAT X projects Stuart Fairchild in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Stuart Fairchild will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Stuart Fairchild has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past 7 days.