St. Louis @ Texas Picks & Props

Sandy Leon will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Sandy Leon has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .222 mark is a good deal lower than his .243 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Leody Taveras has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 90-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 87.7-mph. Leody Taveras has compiled a .287 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Leody Taveras has put up a .353 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 45.5% to 51.7%.

Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Jon Gray in today's game. Brendan Donovan's launch angle this season (9.2°) is considerably higher than his 5.8° mark last year.

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jordan Walker has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 90.4-mph. Jordan Walker has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .305 mark is considerably lower than his .334 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.9-mph.

Robbie Grossman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Robbie Grossman has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games. Robbie Grossman's launch angle of late (24° in the past week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 19.1° seasonal mark.

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Jonah Heim will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (18.4°) is considerably better than his 11.7° mark last season. Jonah Heim has notched a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile for offensive skills (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Tommy Edman has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 11.4% to 15.1%. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 41.5% on the season to 56.7% in the last 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Josh Jung is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 50.3% on the season to 62.9% over the last two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Marcus Semien has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph mark.

Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 46.4% on the season to 66.7% in the last week's worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Mitch Garver in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mitch Garver will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Mitch Garver has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.6-mph. Mitch Garver's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 16.7% on the season to 33.3% over the last week. Mitch Garver has been hot recently, notching a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Willson Contreras's launch angle of late (39° in the past week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 10.5° seasonal angle. Willson Contreras has been unlucky this year, compiling a .294 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .352 — a .058 deviation.

THE BAT X projects Alec Burleson in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's matchup. Alec Burleson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days. Alec Burleson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 93-mph.

Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty today. Travis Jankowski will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Travis Jankowski has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.73 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Adolis Garcia in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Adolis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 96.1-mph. Adolis Garcia has posted a .357 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Nolan Arenado has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph mark. Nolan Arenado's launch angle lately (27.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 17.7° seasonal figure.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.