Baltimore @ San Francisco Picks & Props

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The weather forecast the best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Frazier will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Adam Frazier's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (8.7°) is considerably lower than his 12.7° figure last season. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 14.9% on the season to 7% in the last 14 days.

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The weather forecast the best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Adley Rutschman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Adley Rutschman's launch angle lately (4.8° in the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 14.7° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Austin Hays in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Austin Hays has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week.

THE BAT X projects Mitch Haniger in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Mitch Haniger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Mitch Haniger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park projects as the #3 field in the game for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Oracle Park projects as the #3 field in the game for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Brandon Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Casey Schmitt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past 7 days. Casey Schmitt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 19.1% on the season to 35.3% over the last week.

THE BAT X projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Ryan Mountcastle has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams today.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Oracle Park projects as the #3 field in the game for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Anthony Santander tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Jorge Mateo has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure. Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .286 figure is deflated compared to his .327 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Oracle Park projects as the #3 field in the game for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Oracle Park projects as the #3 field in the game for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Patrick Bailey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Patrick Bailey will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Patrick Bailey has been hot lately, compiling a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Ramon Urias has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Blake Sabol in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Blake Sabol has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Oracle Park projects as the #3 field in the game for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Oracle Park projects as the #3 field in the game for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Aaron Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Aaron Hicks has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile with a 2.02 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Terrin Vavra in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Oracle Park projects as the #3 field in the game for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Terrin Vavra will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.