Tampa Bay @ Boston Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Verdugo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the last two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rafael Devers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Taylor Walls has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in MLB. Taylor Walls has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.8-mph. Taylor Walls's launch angle recently (31.3° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 20.4° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luke Raley can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Francisco Mejia pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 107.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.6-mph. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.8% to 25.7%.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (19.3°) is considerably better than his 15.5° mark last season. Isaac Paredes has posted a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jarren Duran will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jarren Duran has notched a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 75%. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Manuel Margot hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Manuel Margot has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .302 rate is a fair amount lower than his .331 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Manuel Margot has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan in today's game. Justin Turner has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the league for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup. Kike Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 86.6-mph.

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. Christian Arroyo will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game. Christian Arroyo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. Rob Refsnyder will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan today.

Josh Lowe has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Wander Franco has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Harold Ramirez has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.