Cincinnati @ Boston Picks & Props

Kevin Newman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. With its low altitude, Fenway Park has one of the lowest levels among all parks, resulting in decreased offensive production. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast the 5th-least humidity on the slate at 39%. Kevin Newman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Recently, Kevin Newman has shown a decline in his capacity to hit the ball with an ideal launch angle for home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°), as his percentage went down from 10.1% throughout the season to 0% in the last two weeks.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. With a 1.53 K/BB rate this year, Jake Fraley has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 87th percentile.

When considering his batting average talent, Masataka Yoshida ranks as the 19th-best batter in MLB according to THE BAT X. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Luke Weaver in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

With its low altitude, Fenway Park has one of the lowest levels among all parks, resulting in decreased offensive production. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast the 5th-least humidity on the slate at 39%. Luke Weaver will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP captalent, Rob Refsnyder is projected in the 94th percentile by THE BAT X. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. In the league, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. Jonathan India will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran ranks in the 96th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luke Weaver in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jarren Duran hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Luke Weaver in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Matt McLain in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. In the league, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Matt McLain will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton today.

Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. Kike Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Of late, it has been observed that Kike Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, as he now has an average of 88.9-mph in the past 14 days, compared to his seasonal average of 85.8-mph.

As it relates to his BABIP capskill, Tyler Stephenson is projected in the 97th percentile by THE BAT X. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. Nick Senzel will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton today. Nick Senzel hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. In the league, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Spencer Steer will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton today. In the past two weeks, Spencer Steer's launch figure has significantly improved to 20.5°, exceeding his seasonal figure of 17.5°.

Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. There has been a notable rise in Connor Wong's launch angle during his recent games, reaching 29.4° over the last fortnight, which is a considerable surge from his average seasonal figure of 15.9°. Connor Wong's 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage against Luke Weaver today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. In the league, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Luke Maile will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton today. Luke Maile has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 5.4% rate last season to 15.2% this year. Compared to last season, Luke Maile has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 16.9% to 24.2%.

THE BAT X projects Stuart Fairchild in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Using THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th best park in MLB for right-handed batters in terms of batting average. In the league, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Stuart Fairchild will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game. Recently, Stuart Fairchild has witnessed a notable enhancement in his exit velocity, evident by the contrast between his seasonal 87.9-mph EVs and his current 92.7-mph average over the past 14 days.

Rafael Devers has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.