Cincinnati @ Boston Picks & Props

Compared to other stadiums in the league, Fenway Park has a near sea-level elevation that often results in decreased offensive production. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ben Lively will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's game.

Compared to other stadiums in the league, Fenway Park has a near sea-level elevation that often results in decreased offensive production. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Recently, Raimel Tapia's velocity on flyballs has decreased, dropping from his seasonal average of 90.5 mph to 85.4 mph in the last 14 days. There has been a significant drop in Raimel Tapia's launch angle this year, which now stands at 0.5°, compared to his 3.9° mark from last season. In recent games, Raimel Tapia's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.8° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly lower than his seasonal figure of 6.7°.

When it comes to his BABIP capskill, Matt McLain is projected in the 84th percentile by THE BAT X. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Extreme groundball bats like Curt Casali are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Curt Casali's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12% to 20%.

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Nick Senzel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Nick Senzel has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph figure.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. THE BAT projection system ranks Fenway Park as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Among the steepest launch angles in the majors, which is a dependable metric to evaluate a hitter's power to lift the ball, belongs to Spencer Steer at metric1°, ranking at the 87th percentile. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Spencer Steer has posted a .278 batting average this year.

THE BAT projection system ranks Fenway Park as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Lively today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Tyler Stephenson has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

In terms of his BABIP talent, Stuart Fairchild ranks in the 78th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Lately, Stuart Fairchild has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate rising from 41.1% over the season to 56% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Estimating Kevin Newman's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 84th percentile. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Kevin Newman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Over the last week's worth of games, Kevin Newman has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 3% to 10%, showcasing notable strides in his performance.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. THE BAT projection system ranks Fenway Park as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Ben Lively in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT projection system ranks Fenway Park as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Will Benson will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game. Will Benson, who uses extreme groundball bats, typically has more success against pitchers like Brayan Bello, who tend to throw extreme flyballs. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Compared to other stadiums in the league, Fenway Park has a near sea-level elevation that often results in decreased offensive production. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Masataka Yoshida has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days. Over the course of the last week, Masataka Yoshida's average exit velocity on flyballs went down from his seasonal figure of 92.7 mph to 89.5 mph. Recently, Masataka Yoshida has exhibited a decline in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage dropping from 33.5% for the season to 20% in the last week.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 85th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jonathan India is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. Kike Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Kike Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 14.3% on the season to 27.3% over the past 7 days.

THE BAT projection system ranks Fenway Park as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Lively in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT projection system ranks Fenway Park as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Lively today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Rafael Devers has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.