Toronto @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field profiles as the #27 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The switch-hitting Wander Franco will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Jose Berrios Wander Franco hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Of all teams on the slate, the 2nd-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Toronto Blue Jays. Despite having a seasonal rate of 8.3%, Wander Franco's Barrel% has taken a hit in recent games, dropping down to 0% in the past week.

Using THE BAT projection system, Tropicana Field is ranked as the 27th best park in Major League Baseball for righty batters in terms of batting average. Of all teams on the slate, the 4th-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Toronto Blue Jays. Yandy Diaz's launch angle lately (3.4° over the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 8.8° seasonal mark. Yandy Diaz has been lucky this year, compiling a .438 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .383 — a .055 disparity.

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. From last year's 7.9%, Randy Arozarena has impressively increased his Barrel% to 18.3% this season. A significant rise in Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs is EVident this season as his average of 97 mph is much lower than last year's 92.7 mph EV.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Posting a .305 batting average this year, Kevin Kiermaier grades out in the 93rd percentile.

In terms of his batting average skill, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 14th-best batter in the major leagues by THE BAT X. Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Harold Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. There is a significant increase in Harold Ramirez's average launch figure on the balls he has hit hardest this season, which stands at 8.2°, compared to his figure of 2.3° in the previous season. Harold Ramirez has notched a .348 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. His launch mark has significantly improved in the past two weeks, recording 26.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 17°, Daulton Varsho's performance shows. When it comes to his batting average, Daulton Varsho has had some very poor luck this year. His .207 figure falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Danny Jansen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph average. There is a significant increase in Danny Jansen's average launch angle on the balls he has hit hardest this year, which stands at 20.3°, compared to his angle of 15° in the previous season. In recent times, Danny Jansen has improved his capacity to strike the ball with a launch angle ideal for securing a BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), as evidenced by an increase in success rate from 47% for the season to 56.7% in the last two weeks' games. Danny Jansen has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .278 rate is a good deal lower than his .351 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is estimated to be in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X projects. Whit Merrifield has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Whit Merrifield has improved his capability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes his base hit, which has increased from 42.5% to 48.7%. Whit Merrifield has notched a .287 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Whit Merrifield has compiled a .288 batting average this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Tropicana Field has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all parks. Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Of late, it has been observed that Taylor Walls's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, as he now has an average of 101.1-mph in the past 14 days, compared to his seasonal average of 92.4-mph.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. With his Barrel% having increased from 6.3% in the previous season to 18.9% this season, Jose Siri has shown significant improvements. Last year, Jose Siri had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season his angle has significantly increased to 18.4°.

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Matt Chapman scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. By increasing his Barrel% from 12.9% in the previous season to 24.2% this year, Matt Chapman has displayed significant improvements. Matt Chapman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 92.2-mph figure. Based on Statcast metrics, Matt Chapman grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills via THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .392.

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 44.3% on the season to 69.6% in the last week. George Springer has been unlucky this year, putting up a .292 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .067 gap.

Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his launch angle of 15.5° last year, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved with a mark of 19.3° this season.

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Luke Raley scores in the 80th percentile in THE BAT X projects. This year, Luke Raley has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (55% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 4th in the lineup for this game. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luke Raley stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing Manuel Margot's batting average capskill, THE BAT X places him in the 86th percentile. Manuel Margot will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. With a recent surge of games, Manuel Margot's Barrel% has significantly improved, as his seasonal rate of 6.7% rose to 16.7%. Manuel Margot has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (.335) implies that Manuel Margot has been unlucky this year with his .300 actual wOBA.

Francisco Mejia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Francisco Mejia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

While Brandon Belt has predominantly been placed in the latter half of the batting batting order this season (84% of the time), he is expected to assume the 4th position in the batting order for this particular matchup. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage over Taj Bradley in today's game. Brandon Belt pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 90.6-mph average compared to his 88.4-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Belt. Recently, Brandon Belt has exhibited a notable rise in his average launch figure for his highest exit velocity balls, standing at 21° in the past two weeks compared to his seasonal figure of 16.3°.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.