Arizona @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The BAT projection system predicts that ballpark will rank as the 21nd ballballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. Compared to other stadiums in the majors, Citizens Bank Park has a near sea-level altitude that often results in decreased offensive production. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense projects as the 4th-best on the slate. During recent games, Trea Turner' success at hitting the ball at a launch angle that maximizes his BABIP (between -4° and 26°) has declined, dropping from 40.3% for the season to 25% in the past week.

Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when evaluating his BABIP ability, according to THE BAT X. Brandon Marsh has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brandon Marsh has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph figure. Brandon Marsh has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Over the last week's worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 4.1% to 28.6%, showcasing sizeable improvements in his performance. Recently, Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited a notable rise in his average launch mark for his highest exit velocity balls, standing at 26.8° in the past two weeks compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°.

Assessing his BABIP skill, THE BAT X rates Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile. Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Over the past 7 days, Gabriel Moreno's average exit velocity has significantly gaind, evidenced by a comparison of his 95.2-mph average to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV. Gabriel Moreno has compiled a .305 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. During the last 7 days, Christian Walker has significantly improved his seasonal Barrel% rate from 10.9% to 20%. As of late, Christian Walker has experienced a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, EVident in his average of 103.1 mph over the past 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 93.6 mph.

As it relates to his BABIP capskill, Corbin Carroll is projected in the 92nd percentile by THE BAT X. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. With a .376 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Corbin Carroll is positioned in the 87th percentile.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tommy Henry in today's game. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .248 rate is considerably lower than his .264 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Dominic Fletcher will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

This season, Pavin Smith has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (56% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 1st on the lineup card for this game. Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 90.2-mph average compared to his 87.9-mph EV from the previous year, as demonstrated by Pavin Smith. The recent increase in Pavin Smith's hitting performance can be attributed to his ability to hit the ball within the BABIP-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, with his percentage increasing from 47.6% on the season to 61.5% in the past week.

THE BAT X projects Ketel Marte in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Ketel Marte has notched a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 77th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

According to THE BAT X, Bryce Harper is predicted to be the 10th-best hitter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Bryce Harper has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (.399) may lead us to conclude that Bryce Harper has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .371 actual wOBA.

Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Dalton Guthrie will hold the platoon advantage against Tommy Henry in today's matchup. Dalton Guthrie will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable athleticism.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 16th-best hitter in MLB, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Kyle Schwarber will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Kyle Schwarber, evident by his 101.7-mph mark over the past 7 days as compared to his seasonal mark of 92.1 mph.

Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The recent increase in Bryson Stott's hitting performance can be attributed to his ability to hit the ball within the base hit-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, with his percentage rising from 41.2% on the season to 63.6% in the past week. In notching a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by THE BAT X using Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott finds himself in the 82nd percentile. Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Bryson Stott has posted a .286 batting average this year.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Alec Bohm is ranked in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage against Tommy Henry today. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Within the last two weeks, Alec Bohm has notably improved his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 6.5% to 12.5%.

Generally, having the shallowest fences among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for HRs. Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Tommy Henry in today's game. Josh Harrison will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Josh Rojas has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Josh Rojas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .292 rate is quite a bit lower than his .318 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Grading out in the 75th percentile, Josh Rojas has put up a .314 BABIP since the start of last season.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.