Pittsburgh @ Baltimore Picks & Props

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Rodolfo Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. His Barrel% has improved significantly, as Rodolfo Castro's rate increased from 6.8% in the previous year to 13.6.8% in the current year. Over the past 14 days, Rodolfo Castro has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 17.4% to 38.5% during the current season.

Gunnar Henderson's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X assessment. For 61% of the time this season, Gunnar Henderson has mainly batted in the back-half of the batting order, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 3rd spot in the batting order. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers. Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. Lately, Ryan Mountcastle's proficiency in hitting the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°) has declined, going down from 19% for the season to 0% over the last week. Ryan Mountcastle has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 10th percentile with a 5.11 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Cedric Mullins II in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Cedric Mullins II is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Jack Suwinski pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Compared to last year, Jack Suwinski has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 21.1% to 26.7%.

Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all parks. Adley Rutschman will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Lately, Adley Rutschman' exit velocity on flyballs has notably improvementd, as EVidenced by his average of 101.1-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph.

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all parks. Improving from a 7.9% rate last year, Bryan Reynolds has made significant improvements with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.7.9% this year.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Anthony Santander has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.4% to 17.2%.

For 77% of the time this season, Adam Frazier has mainly batted in the back-half of the batting order, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 5th spot in the batting order. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Adam Frazier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th MLB park for lefty BABIP. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.

Via THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 10nd ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. From last season's 5.3%, Austin Hays has impressively increased his Barrel% to 15.1% this year. Of late, Austin Hays's exit velocity has notably increased, evident in his 96.1-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 92.3-mph figure. In recent games, Austin Hays has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 45.3% during the season to 66.7% in the past week.

Via THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 10nd ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP. Connor Joe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. From last season's 4.6%, Connor Joe has impressively increased his Barrel% to 12.2% this season. There has been a significant rise in Connor Joe's exit velocity recently, evident in his average of 93.5 mph during the games of the past week compared to his seasonal average of 90.8 mph. Comparing to his seasonal figure of 11.4°, Connor Joe has recorded a launch angle of 29.7° in the past week, showcasing a significant increase.

Via THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 10nd ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP. Jorge Mateo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Via THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 10nd ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 89.3-mph average compared to his 84.2-mph EV from the previous year, as demonstrated by Austin Hedges. Compared to last season, Austin Hedges has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for BABIP optimization, increasing his percentage from 36.9% to 51.2% this season. Even though based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data, Austin Hedges's Expected Batting Average (EBA) is .174, his actual batting average since the start of last season has been unfortunate, sitting at .159, which is significantly lower.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to be in the 86th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Via THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 10nd ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP. Over the last week's worth of games, Andrew McCutchen has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 10.5% to 33.3%, showcasing notable gains in his performance. Comparing his seasonal 89.6-mph EV to his 99-mph average in the past week's games, Andrew McCutchen's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times.

Via THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 10nd ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP. James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. James McCann will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.2% to 23.3%. James McCann has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .246 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .296 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Ji-Hwan Bae has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Tucupita Marcano has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.