St. Louis @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Triston Casas will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Estimating Tommy Edman's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 88th percentile. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of the day. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% over the last two weeks.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Over the past 14 days, Dylan Carlson has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 9.1% to 15.2%. Compared to last year, Dylan Carlson has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 16.5% to 20.8%. In the last 14 days, Dylan Carlson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 20.8% to 27.3% during the current season.

Assessing his batting average ability, THE BAT X predicts Masataka Yoshida to be the 16th-best hitter in the majors. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage over Corey Kluber today. Brendan Donovan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brendan Donovan has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph EV.

As according to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is placed at the 2nd position among MLB fields for righty batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As according to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is placed at the 2nd position among MLB fields for righty batting average. Andrew Knizner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. By increasing his Barrel% from 3.5% in the previous season to 11.8% this year, Andrew Knizner has displayed significant improvements. Comparing his average of 93.2 mph this season to last season's average of 87.5 mph, Andrew Knizner has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Andrew Knizner's launch angle this season (21.9°) is considerably better than his 15.3° mark last year.

Alec Burleson has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Paul Goldschmidt has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Justin Turner has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Paul DeJong has not yet played a game this season.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nolan Gorman has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Nolan Arenado has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Willson Contreras has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.