Boston @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

When estimating his batting average ability, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the majors by THE BAT X. Masataka Yoshida has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. Masataka Yoshida has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past two weeks. Masataka Yoshida has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV.

Having one of the league's lowest altitudes that is close to sea-level, Citizens Bank Park is known for resulting in reduced offensive output. Corey Kluber will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner today. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 85-mph over the past week. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 40% on the season to 32.3% over the last two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Alex Verdugo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Alex Verdugo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph.

According to THE BAT X, Rafael Devers is predicted to be the 18th-best hitter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Rafael Devers's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (17.8° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 12.4° seasonal figure.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 16th-best hitter in MLB, via THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Corey Kluber in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

By evaluating his BABIP ability, THE BAT X ranks Brandon Marsh as the best batter in MLB. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Corey Kluber today. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brandon Marsh has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last season's 91.9-mph mark.

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Connor Wong in the 78th percentile. Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate. In recent times, Connor Wong's exit velocity has noticeably surged; evident from his 14-day figure of 96.8 mph which is a significant jump from his seasonal 92.1 mph EV.

THE BAT X projects Raimel Tapia in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Raimel Tapia has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 66.7% of the time in the past week. Raimel Tapia has compiled a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Kike Hernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's game. Kike Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Kike Hernandez's launch angle this season (20.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° angle last year.

As it relates to his BABIP captalent, Rob Refsnyder is projected in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. From last season's 8.1%, Jarren Duran has impressively increased his Barrel% to 13.3% this year. Jarren Duran has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.3-mph average to last year's 92.3-mph mark.

In terms of his batting average skill, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate.

In terms of his batting average ability, Alec Bohm ranks in the 94th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Although his .278 batting average since the start of last season is much lower than his .310 Expected Batting Average as interpreted by THE BAT X utilizing Statcast data, Alec Bohm has been unfortunate. According to Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X, Alec Bohm ranks in the 79th percentile with his .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season.

With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Compared to last season, Reese McGuire has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for BABIP optimization, increasing his percentage from 46.1% to 54.1% this season. Having posted a .364 BABIP since the start of last season, Reese McGuire is ranked in the 94th percentile.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Corey Kluber in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 11.8% on the season to 23.1% in the last 14 days.

When it comes to his BABIP capskill, Edmundo Sosa is projected in the 85th percentile by THE BAT X. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 16% this season. Lately, Edmundo Sosa has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate rising from 48% over the season to 62.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Estimating Christian Arroyo's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 77th percentile. With its smallest outfield compared to other parks, Citizens Bank Park provides a favorable setting for home runs. Christian Arroyo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Christian Arroyo has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Bryce Harper has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.