Boston @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Dalton Guthrie will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today's game... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Dalton Guthrie will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. With a Sprint Speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie falls in the 93rd percentile and is remarkably swift.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Alex Verdugo is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Alex Verdugo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. A significant increase in Triston Casas's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed in recent games, evidenced by his EV of 98.8-mph in the last two weeks in comparison to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph. Triston Casas has been unlucky this year, compiling a .272 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .050 deviation.

Estimating Raimel Tapia's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 78th percentile. Raimel Tapia is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Raimel Tapia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

In terms of his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 14th-best batter in the major leagues by THE BAT X. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Assessing his batting average ability, THE BAT X predicts Masataka Yoshida to be the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Josh Harrison will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Josh Harrison will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Rafael Devers will rank as the 17th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 8th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite his .403 Expected wOBA (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), Bryce Harper's actual wOBA mark of .372 has suffered from a string of unfortunate events since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Justin Turner's launch angle of late (21° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 17.1° seasonal angle.

Estimating Christian Arroyo's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 77th percentile. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Over the last week's worth of games, Christian Arroyo has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 3.8% to 20%, showcasing sizeable improvements in his performance. In recent times, Christian Arroyo has observed a significant boost in the speed at which the ball exits his bat when he hits it high up in the air; a mere comparison of his average velocity of 102-mph in the past 7 days with his average speed of 88.6-mph for the entire season can confirm this.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Alec Bohm is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Alec Bohm will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. His batting average since the start of last season of .278 is quite a bit lower than his .310 Expected Batting Average, which is based on Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X and suggests Alec Bohm has been unlucky.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brandon Marsh has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 91.9-mph average. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Marsh's exit velocity has notably risen, with an average of 94 mph compared to his season-long 91.9 mph EV.

Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Bryson Stott has notched a .306 batting average this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.

THE BAT X projections rank Kyle Schwarber as the 16th-best batter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In recent games, Kyle Schwarber' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, figureident from his 102.7-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 94.9-mph.

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. In the last 14 days, Connor Wong's exit velocity has notably risen, with an figure of 96.6 mph compared to his season-long 92.1 mph EV.

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Edmundo Sosa in the 83rd percentile. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. With his Barrel% having increased from 5.5% in the previous season to 16% this season, Edmundo Sosa has shown significant improvements.

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Enmanuel Valdez has shown a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat for measuring power) and has been performing exceptionally well. Lately, Enmanuel Valdez's exit velocity stats have been impressive with an average of 95.8-mph on his flyballs withover the past 14 days.

Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.