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Philadelphia @ Houston props

Minute Maid Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

David Hensley Total Hits Props • Houston

D. Hensley
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects David Hensley in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. David Hensley will benefit from the home field advantage today.

David Hensley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects David Hensley in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. David Hensley will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Martin Maldonado has a high pull rate on his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado will benefit from the home field advantage today. Martin Maldonado is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Martin Maldonado has a high pull rate on his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado will benefit from the home field advantage today. Martin Maldonado is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Kyle Schwarber has been unlucky this year, putting up a .329 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .385 — a .056 discrepancy.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Kyle Schwarber has been unlucky this year, putting up a .329 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .385 — a .056 discrepancy.

Rylan Bannon Total Hits Props • Houston

R. Bannon
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Rylan Bannon will possess the home field advantage today.

Rylan Bannon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Rylan Bannon will possess the home field advantage today.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Jeremy Pena has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Jeremy Pena has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Alex Bregman has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Alex Bregman has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Brandon Marsh has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh has been hot lately, putting up a .460 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Brandon Marsh has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Marsh has been hot lately, putting up a .460 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Dubon
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Mauricio Dubon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez today. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, notching a .307 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .053 disparity.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez today. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, notching a .307 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .053 disparity.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker projects as the 14th-best hitter in the league, per THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 14th-best hitter in the league, per THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Bryson Stott has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Bryson Stott has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Jose Abreu will possess the home field advantage today. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, posting a .244 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .103 deviation.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Jose Abreu will possess the home field advantage today. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, posting a .244 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .103 deviation.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez today. Alec Bohm has been unlucky with his wOBA this year; his .347 rate is quite a bit lower than his .410 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Alec Bohm's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is among the best in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 77th percentile.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez today. Alec Bohm has been unlucky with his wOBA this year; his .347 rate is quite a bit lower than his .410 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Alec Bohm's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is among the best in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 77th percentile.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Edmundo Sosa has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .241 rate is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Edmundo Sosa has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .241 rate is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Corey Julks Total Hits Props • Houston

C. Julks
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Corey Julks has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Corey Julks will possess the home field advantage today.

Corey Julks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. Corey Julks has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Corey Julks will possess the home field advantage today.

Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

C. Pache
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Cristian Pache will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Cristian Pache has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .182 BA is quite a bit lower than his .233 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Cristian Pache

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Cristian Pache will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Cristian Pache has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .182 BA is quite a bit lower than his .233 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Josh Harrison Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Harrison
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez today.

Josh Harrison

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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