Houston @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes has a high pull rate on his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage today. Isaac Paredes has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Yainer Diaz in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Yainer Diaz has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 6th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average ability. Wander Franco is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Wander Franco will hold the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jeremy Pena has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jeremy Pena has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .248 rate is quite a bit lower than his .271 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best hitter in the league, per THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen today. Kyle Tucker has compiled a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball batters like Randy Arozarena tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Garcia. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage today.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Luis Garcia today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Luke Raley is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Luke Raley has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Harold Ramirez as the 17th-best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average talent. Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball bats like Harold Ramirez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Garcia. Harold Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage today.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Corey Julks has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Francisco Mejia has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Francisco Mejia will benefit from the home field advantage today. Francisco Mejia ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48% rate since the start of last season). Francisco Mejia has compiled a .311 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile.

THE BAT X projects David Hensley in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. David Hensley has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Alex Bregman has compiled a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Mauricio Dubon has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

THE BAT X projects Yandy Diaz as the 12th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Yandy Diaz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Garcia.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage today. Taylor Walls has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .187 BA is quite a bit lower than his .218 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Taylor Walls has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 16.4° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (86th percentile).

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Abreu is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Abreu's 92.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the league since the start of last season: 95th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Lowe in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Garcia today. The Houston Astros don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 13° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Martin Maldonado has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.