Houston @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley today.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Martin Maldonado has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley today. Kyle Tucker has posted a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Yainer Diaz in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Yainer Diaz has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jeremy Pena has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jeremy Pena has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .248 rate is quite a bit lower than his .271 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Alex Bregman has posted a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Corey Julks has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Mauricio Dubon in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Mauricio Dubon has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Abreu's 92.2-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the game since the start of last season: 95th percentile.

Wander Franco has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Harold Ramirez has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Manuel Margot has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Isaac Paredes has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Randy Arozarena has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Brandon Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.