Boston @ Baltimore Picks & Props
BOS vs BAL Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
BOS vs BAL Consensus Picks
More Consensus67% picking Boston vs Baltimore to go Over
Total PicksBOS 112, BAL 55
75% picking Boston vs Baltimore to go Over
Total PicksBOS 361, BAL 123
BOS vs BAL Props
Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weatherman calls for the 3rd-coldest temperature of all games today at 57°. Austin Hays has a high pull rate on his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's deepest LF fences today. Austin Hays has been lucky this year, compiling a .380 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .062 difference. Austin Hays has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 7.7° angle is among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season (18th percentile).
Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weatherman calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of all games today at 58°. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 2nd-best of the day. Rafael Devers's speed has declined this season. His 25.47 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.95 ft/sec now. Rafael Devers has been lucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .290 BA is quite a bit higher than his .267 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston
THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 17th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today.
Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Triston Casas has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .167 mark is quite a bit lower than his .199 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Triston Casas has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weatherman calls for the 4th-coldest temperature of all games today at 58°. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 2nd-best of the day.
Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore
THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage today.
Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore
THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Adley Rutschman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston
THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Justin Turner has posted a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Chris Sale... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Boston (#3-worst of all teams today).
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore
THE BAT X projects Adam Frazier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.
Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston
Kike Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Kike Hernandez is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#1-worst on the slate today). Kike Hernandez's 16.7° launch angle is among the highest in the game: 84th percentile.
Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston
THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Jarren Duran has been hot of late, cruising to a .412 wOBA over the last 14 days.
Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Ramon Urias is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.
Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system.
Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore
THE BAT X projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Ryan Mountcastle will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale today... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. Ryan Mountcastle has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today.
Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore
THE BAT X projects Cedric Mullins II in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Cedric Mullins II has a high pull rate on his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.
Yu Chang Total Hits Props • Boston
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. The standard deviation of Yu Chang's launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 82nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.
James McCann Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #7 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. James McCann will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. James McCann will possess the home field advantage today.
Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Jorge Mateo has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
BOS vs BAL Trends
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 85% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+7.95 Units / 35% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 23 games (-13.30 Units / -50% ROI)
Rafael Devers has only hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 19 games (-16.95 Units / -72% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 23 games (-10.90 Units / -43% ROI)
Rafael Devers has only hit the RBIs Under in 3 of his last 11 games (-14.90 Units / -62% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 23 games (-9.95 Units / -36% ROI)
Alex Verdugo has only hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 22 games (-14.20 Units / -38% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 22 games (-6.00 Units / -22% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 1 of their last 6 away games (-5.05 Units / -72% ROI)
Rafael Devers has only hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 13 games (-11.20 Units / -40% ROI)
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 44% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 33% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.45 Units / 64% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 9 games at home (-7.30 Units / -62% ROI)
Cedric Mullins has only hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 15 games (-12.20 Units / -63% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have not hit the Game Total Over in any of their last 5 games (-5.40 Units / -100% ROI)
Austin Hays has only hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 21 games (-11.10 Units / -41% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 9 games at home (-3.75 Units / -25% ROI)
Cedric Mullins has only hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 17 games (-10.85 Units / -32% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 9 games at home (-2.15 Units / -21% ROI)
Cedric Mullins has only hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games (-10.65 Units / -63% ROI)
BOS vs BAL Top User Picks
More PicksBoston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
| 2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
| 3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
| 4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
| 5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
| 6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
| 7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
| 8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
| 9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
| 10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
| All Red Sox Money Leaders | |||
Baltimore Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||