MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 1, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Apr 1 • 12:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Brent Rooker will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.. Brent Rooker has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .260 mark is deflated compared to his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Shea Langeliers will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today's game... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.. Shea Langeliers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Atlanta (#3-worst of all teams on the slate today).
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Wed, Apr 1 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Taylor Ward has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Taylor Ward generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.
Total RBIs
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge today.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team today.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Wed, Apr 1 • 12:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Paul Skenes logo
Paul Skenes u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 4.06 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Paul Skenes to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.. The weather report projects the 4th-best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+252)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in the majors for LHB home runs.. The weather report projects the 4th-best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Paul Skenes in this game.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, Apr 1 • 1:05 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-190)
Projection 1.61 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. James Wood has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .252 figure is a good deal lower than his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Wed, Apr 1 • 1:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Kyle Freeland logo
Kyle Freeland o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 3.95 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Kyle Freeland must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 60.5% of the time, grading out in the 87th percentile.. Kyle Freeland has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 6.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.22 — a 0.43 K/9 gap.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest in the league.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Apr 1 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Miguel Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, Apr 1 • 1:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Juan Soto's 17.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Wed, Apr 1 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo
Drew Rasmussen o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 4.99 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) behind the plate in today's game.. The weather report calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Drew Rasmussen's 95.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 81st percentile among all starters.. Drew Rasmussen's 2482-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 90th percentile among all SPs.. Drew Rasmussen has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 7.49 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.03 — a 0.54 K/9 deviation.
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Since the start of last season, Junior Caminero's 13.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Houston Astros logo HOU Wed, Apr 1 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 4th-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for homers.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, Apr 1 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.58 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the lowest temperature on the slate at 41°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 15.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Considering Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Michael Busch will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup.. Michael Busch pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
Outs Recorded
Yusei Kikuchi logo
Yusei Kikuchi o15.5 Outs Recorded (-109)
Projection 17.19 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yusei Kikuchi to throw 98 pitches in today's outing (most of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. David Rackley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 9th-worst park in Major League Baseball for batting average.. The 5th-deepest right field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.. The league's 7th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Wrigley Field.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Apr 1 • 3:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Arizona Diamondbacks logo u8.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Tigers ace Tarik Skubal has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in 26 of 32 starts since the beginning of last year, so I'm anticipating the lefty doing the heavy lifting to keep this total Under the number this afternoon.

Spread
Detroit Tigers logo DET -1.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen’s ERA and xFIP climbed in each of the past three seasons ahead of him allowing four runs on five hits and a pair of walks through four frames on Opening Day, so I’m anticipating a long season ahead for the veteran righty. It’s just the opposite for Detroit ace Tarik Skubal, with the star southpaw ranking second among qualified starters in ERA and xFIP since the beginning of the 2024 campaign. The Arizona offense is also off to a ho-hum start with a 23rd-ranked xwOBA.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ San Diego Padres logo SD Wed, Apr 1 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Wed, Apr 1 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Julio Rodriguez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game's 5th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Cam Schlitter in today's matchup.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Wed, Apr 1 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Vinnie Pasquantino will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Wallner projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Since the start of last season, Matt Wallner's 14.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Apr 1 • 8:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Teoscar Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
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