MLB Picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Truist Park projects as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Brent Rooker will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Truist Park projects as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Shea Langeliers will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today's game... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

Taylor Ward brings legit 36-HR power to the leadoff spot for the Baltimore Orioles, giving him a strong chance at five plate appearances this afternoon. He faces Nathan Eovaldi, a familiar matchup with 20 career at-bats against him. Eovaldi allowed two home runs in his first start and projects to go over his 2.5 earned runs prop, according to THE BAT, which makes Ward’s HR price around +425. Ward hasn’t gone deep yet, but he’s coming off a four-hit game, carrying a 49% fly-ball rate, and gets ideal conditions at Oriole Park at Camden Yards with 80-degree weather and wind blowing out to center.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge today.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Paul Skenes to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.. The weather report projects the 4th-best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in the majors for LHB home runs.. The weather report projects the 4th-best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Paul Skenes in this game.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. James Wood has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .252 figure is a good deal lower than his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Kyle Freeland must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 60.5% of the time, grading out in the 87th percentile.. Kyle Freeland has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 6.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.22 — a 0.43 K/9 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #3 venue in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest in the league.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Miguel Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Juan Soto's 17.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) behind the plate in today's game.. The weather report calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Drew Rasmussen's 95.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 81st percentile among all starters.. Drew Rasmussen's 2482-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 90th percentile among all SPs.. Drew Rasmussen has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 7.49 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.03 — a 0.54 K/9 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Since the start of last season, Junior Caminero's 13.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 4th-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for homers.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yusei Kikuchi to throw 98 pitches in today's outing (most of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. David Rackley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 9th-worst park in Major League Baseball for batting average.. The 5th-deepest right field fences among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.. The league's 7th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Wrigley Field.

When estimating his home run talent, Travis d'Arnaud ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Travis d'Arnaud will have an edge in today's matchup.. Travis d'Arnaud's 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Tigers ace Tarik Skubal has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in 26 of 32 starts since the beginning of last year, so I'm anticipating the lefty doing the heavy lifting to keep this total Under the number this afternoon.

Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen’s ERA and xFIP climbed in each of the past three seasons ahead of him allowing four runs on five hits and a pair of walks through four frames on Opening Day, so I’m anticipating a long season ahead for the veteran righty. It’s just the opposite for Detroit ace Tarik Skubal, with the star southpaw ranking second among qualified starters in ERA and xFIP since the beginning of the 2024 campaign. The Arizona offense is also off to a ho-hum start with a 23rd-ranked xwOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Luis Arraez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game.. Luis Arraez has posted a .295 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 94th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The pitching matchup between Schlittler and George Kirby is nothing short of excellent. 

Schlittler impressed as a rookie and seems poised for a big sophomore campaign, holding a struggling Giants offense to just one baserunner in his season opening start.

While more can be expected from the Mariners, it shouldn’t be a field day for their offense.

Meanwhile, Kirby pitched six innings of one-run ball against the Guardians in his 2026 debut. That’s par for the course – he has held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in eight of his past 10 home games.

The Mariners are hitting .205 to start the year but don’t let that fool you: there is a good offense in there.

They rank 15th in wOBA, 11th in line drive percentage, 10th in wRC+, and 9th in walk rate. There are some good signs beneath the surface.

Not to mention, there are sleeping giants offensively. Josh Naylor (.043), Julio Rodriguez (.093), and Cal Raleigh (.143) haven’t hit anywhere close to their normal averages and the Mariners are still 3-3.

Cam Schlittler is an excellent young pitcher but it’ll be tough to keep these guys down much longer. Back Seattle on the moneyline.

The Royals have only scored nine times through the first four games of the season, and the Twins have only scored 12 runs through their own four games. So, add potential rain to both teams respectively ranking 26th and 23rd in runs per game in 2025, and I like this total to go Under the number tonight. 

Royals lefty Noah Cameron outpitched his peripherals last year with his 2.99 ERA well below his 4.10 xFIP, in addition to his unsustainably good .241 BABIP and 84.0% strand rate. Minnesota is countering with ace Joe Ryan, and he’s turned in a tidy 3.44 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 3.58 xFIP across 55 games since the beginning of the 2024 campaign. Of course, the Royals have also only scored nine times through the first four games after finishing 26th in runs per game in 2025.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Teoscar Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.