ATH -113 o9.5
MIN +104 u9.5
TEX +102 o9.0
KC -110 u9.0
MIL +127 o6.5
CHC -138 u6.5
LAD -212 o11.5
COL +192 u11.5
NYM -128 o8.5
WAS +118 u8.5
SF +169 o8.0
SD -185 u8.0
HOU +106 o9.0
BAL -115 u9.0
BOS +129 o8.5
NYY -140 u8.5
STL -110 o8.5
TB +101 u8.5

Cincinnati @ San Diego preview

Petco Park

Last Meeting ( Jul 7, 2012 ) Cincinnati 6, San Diego 5


Cincinnati sits one game behind Pittsburgh in the National League Central heading into Sunday’s series finale against San Diego, whose comeback attempt Saturday fell just short. Reds closer Aroldis Chapman struck out the side in the ninth inning for his 10th save in 14 chances, and he’s clearly one of the keys for the Reds in the second half. After a shaky June, Chapman looked sharp in his first appearance in five days, consistently hitting 99-101 mph with his fastball. Cincinnati’s starting pitchers have recorded quality starts in all 10 games during their road trip, including three complete games.

San Diego has gone 10-6 over its last 16 games, but the Padres are still 13 games out of first in the NL West. The team figures to experiment in the second half, beginning with Micah Owings’ position change. A career pitcher, the 29-year-old Owings will work as a first baseman and left fielder for Triple-A Tucson starting next week. Owings, who is not expected to pitch again this season, is a career .283 hitter over 203 at-bats. The Padres are also considering more traditional changes, including possible trades of veterans Chase Headley, Huston Street and Carlos Quentin.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FS Ohio (Cincinnati), FS San Diego

PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Johnny Cueto (9-5, 2.35 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jason Marquis (1-4, 3.49)

Cueto has lost his last two starts after winning four straight. He gave up three runs over seven innings last Tuesday against the Dodgers, giving him seven straight quality starts. Cueto hasn’t allowed a home run since May 25, and his 2.33 ERA over the past two seasons is tied with the Angels’ Jared Weaver for the best in the majors.

Marquis is starting on three days rest after giving up four runs over 6 1/3 innings Wednesday against Arizona. In six career starts on three days’ rest, Marquis is 1-2 with a 3.93 ERA. Since being called up to San Diego on June 7, Marquis has a 3.49 ERA and a 1-4 record in six starts.

WALK-OFFS

1. Padres pitcher Andrew Cashner will miss about a month after landing on the disabled list with strained right lat muscle.

2. Reds third baseman Scott Rolen (back) is expected to start Sunday for the first time since leaving a game on June 29 in the first inning.

3. Headley doubled in the first inning Saturday to extend his hitting streak to 12 games.

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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