The Premier League’s Wednesday slate has Sunderland hosting Liverpool at Stadium of Light, with just three points separating the teams in the standings.
Sunderland has begun to falter after an excellent start, but they’re still a force at home. Our Sunderland vs. Liverpool predictions expect the Reds to have to dig deep to pull out the win in the second half.
Read on for my free betting picks for Wednesday, February 11.
Premier League predictions for Sunderland vs Liverpool
My Sunderland vs Liverpool best bet: Tie/Liverpool — Halftime/Fulltime (+400 at Sports Interaction)
No team in the Premier League has a more obvious difference in performance between home and away games than Sunderland. They rank fourth in home record, yet sit 17th in the league on the road.
The fearsome Sunderland crowd plays a huge part in that, and those supporters will be loud and proud ahead of the visit of the reigning champions.
This year’s Liverpool team also have an incredibly varied split between how they perform in the first half of games vs. the second.
Liverpool have struggled immensely in away first halves, winning just once at the interval in 12 road games (17th). They’ve scored just three times in the first 45 minutes of those road games.
Conversely, they rank fifth in the second half of away games, having scored 16 goals, tied for the most in the Premier League.
Sunderland have seen just 11 goals (seven scored, four conceded) in the 12 first halves they’ve had at Stadium of Light this season, with their games becoming far more open in the second halves, in which 19 goals have been scored.
Given these trends, let's take a 1H draw coupled with a Liverpool 2H win at +400.
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Sunderland vs Liverpool same-game parlay (SGP)
Tie/Liverpool – Halftime/Fulltime
Liverpool Under 0.5 1H
Reinildo Mandava 2+ fouls committed
This is a Liverpool team who’ve scored just three times in 540 1H minutes away from home. Sunderland are averaging 0.33 goals conceded per 1H at home.
Sunderland’s Reinildo Mandava has committed a foul in nine straight Premier League home starts. He’s averaged 1.61 fouls per 90 minutes played this season, but with the quality of Liverpool, and a one-on-one matchup with Mohamed Salah, expect two or more fouls.
Sunderland vs Liverpool odds
How to watch Sunderland vs Liverpool
| Location | Stadium of Light, Sunderland, England |
| Date | Wednesday, February 11, 2026 |
| Time | 3:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
| Weather | 43F, 14 mph winds, 65% PoP. |
| Sunderland Recent EPL form | L-W-L-W-L |
| Liverpool Recent EPL form | L-W-L-D-D |
Sunderland vs Liverpool key injuries
Sunderland: Grant Xhaka CM (Out), Bertrand Traore FWR (Questionable).
Liverpool: Stefan Bajcetic CM (Out), Conor Bradley RB (Out), Jeremie Frimpong RB (Out), Joe Gomez DEF (Out), Alexander Isak STR (Out), Dominik Szoboszlai MID (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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