PSG vs Newcastle Predictions, Picks & Odds for Wednesday's Champions League Match

Farley's prediction: PSG outlasts Toon Army.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jan 26, 2026 • 14:53 ET • 4 min read
Bradley Barcola (Paris Saint-Germain) during the French L1 football match.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Bradley Barcola (Paris Saint-Germain) during the French L1 football match.

Wednesday’s Champions League slate sees every team in action, but few matches carry higher stakes than PSG vs. Newcastle. With both sides level on points, this is a true win-and-in scenario, as the winner secures a spot in the knockout playoff round.

That razor-thin margin is reflected in our PSG vs. Newcastle predictions. We expect PSG to do enough at home, but Newcastle’s attack should keep this from being comfortable, making a PSG win with both teams scoring the most logical angle.

Read on for my free betting picks for Wednesday, January 28, with kickoff set for 3:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

PSG vs Newcastle picks and predictions

My PSG vs Newcastle best bet: PSG to win + both teams to score (+280 at Sports Interaction)

PSG and Newcastle enter Wednesday sitting sixth and seventh in the Champions League table, with the top eight advancing directly to the knockout stage. From sixth down to 13th, eight teams are level on 13 points, meaning this match is effectively win-and-in. The winner secures a playoff spot, while the loser likely drops into the qualification round and adds unnecessary risk.

That urgency favors PSG. Despite winning only four of seven matches, the Parisians are tied for the most goals in the competition and remain relentless going forward. With multiple elite attacking options and home-field advantage, they should have enough to take all three points. Newcastle’s poor road form only strengthens that case.

Goals should come at both ends. Newcastle have scored in every Champions League match this season, while PSG’s defense has been far from airtight. A PSG win with both teams scoring fits the game state perfectly.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

PSG vs Newcastle same-game parlay (SGP)

PSG to win + both teams to score

Bradley Barcola to score

Harvey Barnes 1+ shots on target

Barcola has started the team’s previous two games and scored the winner against Auxerre at the weekend. He’s the team’s highest scorer in Ligue 1 but has looked good in Europe, getting 1.02 shots on target per 90 minutes played. Expect him to be the difference maker here.

Barnes has been excellent for Newcastle this season and keeps getting into dangerous positions. In the Champions League, he’s had a very impressive 2.38 shots on target per 90 minutes on the field.

PSG vs Newcastle odds

PSG PSG Newcastle Newcastle
-192 Moneyline +450
+360 Draw +390
Over 2.5 (-120) Total Under 2.5 (-120)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch PSG vs Newcastle

Location Parc des Princes, Paris, France
Date Wednesday, January 28, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather 45F, 10 mph winds, 20% PoP.

PSG vs Newcastle key injuries

PSG: Matvey Safonov GK (Out), Lee Kang-In MID (Out), Joao Neves CM (Out), Questin Ndjantou FWR (Out).
Newcastle: Fabian Schar DEF (Out), Emil Krafth DEF (Out), Jacob Murphy FWR (Out), Tino Livramento FB (Out), Joelinton CM (Questionable), Bruno Guimaraes CM (Questionable) .

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo