Man City vs. Brentford Predictions, Picks & Odds for Today’s Premier League Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: May 9, 2026 , 08:01 AM ET • 4 min read

Farley's prediction: City remains dominant at home.

Erling Haaland of Manchester City.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Erling Haaland of Manchester City.

The Premier League title race is back in focus today with Man City hosting Brentford, as Pep Guardiola’s team is in serious need of collecting all three points.

Man City have always been a different beast at home under Guardiola, and my Man City vs. Brentford predictions expect them to stay a step ahead throughout the entirety of the match.

Read on for my free betting picks for Saturday, May 9, with kickoff set for 12:30 p.m. ET on Peacock.

Premier League predictions for Man City vs Brentford today

My Man City vs Brentford best betMan City to be leading at halftime and fulltime (-108 at Sports Interaction)

Man City boast the highest points-per-game mark at home in the Premier League, and they’ve only lost once domestically at Etihad Stadium all season. 

Meanwhile, Brentford sit 13th in the away league table after losing over half of their road games. That will spell trouble against City, who have led at halftime in 12 of 16 home matches while scoring 23 first-half goals in the process, five more than any other team in the EPL.

With the Premier League title on the line, City will hold on to secure all three points.

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Man City vs Brentford same-game parlay (SGP)

Igor Thiago 2+ fouls

Michael Kayode 1+ fouls

Bernardo Silva 1+ fouls

Brentford’s Igor Thiago is tied for the most fouls in the Premier League, committing an average of 1.91 per 90 minutes played and two or more fouls in 12 of his 17 away appearances.

Right-back Michael Kayode has averaged only 0.69 fouls committed per game, but he’ll be matched up opposite Jeremy Doku, with City’s tricky wideman winning 2.97 fouls per 90 minutes.

City midfielder Bernardo Silva has been hit with a foul in 12 straight home starts in the Premier League while averaging 1.29 per 90 minutes across the entire season.

Man City vs Brentford odds today

Man City vs Brentford live odds

How to watch Man City vs Brentford

Location Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England
Date Saturday, May 9, 2026
Time 12:30 p.m. ET
TV Peacock
Weather Light rain.
Man City  Recent EPL form D-W-W-W-D
Brentford  Recent EPL form W-L-D-D-D

Man City vs Brentford key injuries

Man City: Josko Gvardiol DEF (Out), Rodri CDM (Questionable), Ruben Dias CB (Questionable).
Brentford: Fabio Carvalho FWR (Out), Vitaly Jenalt CM (Questionable), Rico Henry LB (Questionable), Jordan Henderson CM (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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