The Carabao Cup returns this Tuesday for the first leg of the semifinal between Newcastle and Manchester City at St James’ Park.
Man City trail in the Premier League title race but should still have enough to win here, and my Newcastle vs Man City predictions expect Pep Guardiola to get past a Newcastle team who’ve only won around 50% of their games this season.
Read on for my betting picks for Tuesday, January 13, with kickoff at 3:00 p.m. ET on Paramount +.
Newcastle vs Man City picks and predictions
My Newcastle vs Man City best bet: Man City moneyline (+115 at Sports Interaction)
It’s a tough ask for Newcastle to beat Man City, who’ve won 18 trophies under Pep Guardiola, including four Carabao Cups. Despite not playing at their best, they’ve still only lost five times this season, and two of those were in August as they struggled to start their campaign.
They’ve dropped points recently, but still won nine of their past 12, with the other three being draws.
Newcastle have found some form, but they've still scored the third-fewest goals in the top half of the Premier League. They’ve also given up 15 goals at home this season, which is more than all but three other teams in the league, who all occupy spots in the bottom four.
You can’t afford to give up so many goal-scoring chances at home, and City, the league’s highest-scoring team, will punish them.
They managed 10 goals against Exeter in the FA Cup at the weekend, giving them a chance to rest some of their stars.
City are packed with experience and should take advantage of a Newcastle team struggling at the back.
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Newcastle vs Man City same-game parlay (SGP)
Man City to win
Erling Haaland anytime goal
Joelinton to get booked
Erling Haaland has had an incredible season, with 26 goals already for Man City this season. He only played one half at the weekend, so he will be well rested.
Joelinton averaged 1.66 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League, and he’s been shown a card in a third of his starts this season. Against City's possession-based style, he’s likely to get booked.
Newcastle vs Man City odds
Newcastle vs Man City odds
 Newcastle |
 Man City |
|
|---|---|---|
| +210 | Moneyline | +115 |
| +260 | Draw | +160 |
| Over 2.5 (-170) | Total | Under 2.5 (+120) |
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.
How to watch Newcastle vs Man City
| Location | St. James' Park, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England |
| Time | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Paramount+ |
| Weather | Light rain |
Newcastle vs Man City key injuries
Newcastle: Dan Burn CB (Out), Emil Krafth DEF (Out), Fabian Schar DEF (Out).
Man City: Mateo Kovacic CM (Out), Omar Marmoush STR (Out), John Stones CB (Out), Josko Gvardiol CB (Out), Ruben Dias CB (Out), Savinho CB (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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