Everton vs Leeds Predictions, Picks & Odds for Monday’s Premier League Match

Farley's prediction: Expect Leeds to come out on top against Everton.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jan 24, 2026 • 14:15 ET • 4 min read
Dominic Calvert-Lewin of Leeds United
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Dominic Calvert-Lewin of Leeds United.

This Monday, Everton faces Leeds under the floodlights at Hill Dickinson Stadium in a Premier League clash.

Something has to give between Everton’s poor home form and Leeds’ struggles on the road.

Our Everton vs Leeds predictions are backing David Moyes’ Everton team to pick up the three points and move up the table.

Read on for my free betting picks for January 26. 

Premier League predictions for Everton vs Leeds

My Everton vs Leeds best bet: Everton to win (+140 at Sports Interaction)

Seven points separate the two teams, but we’re in an interesting position in which Everton has actually picked up more points away from home than they have at their new stadium.

They’ve now played 11 times at the Hill Dickinson in the Premier League and won just four times. However, Leeds have been diabolical away from Elland Road, picking up just six points and losing eight of 11 games.

They’ve won just once on the road, and that was back in September.

Everton have started to pick up form here, with two wins and two draws in their last five, including an impressive 1-0 win over high-flying Aston Villa last weekend.

Striker Thierno Barry is starting to find form, and their underlying xG suggests that they’ve not scored as many as they should given the chances, so we should see some positive regression.

The team will also welcome back Iliman Ndiaye from AFCON duty for this game, which will give them a huge attacking boost.

Leeds have conceded in all but one away game this season, and with Everton’s tight defense, we should see them get past the relegation-threatened visitors.

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Everton vs Leeds same-game parlay (SGP)

Everton to win

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to record 1+ shot on target

Ethan Ampadu to be shown a card

Our SGP adds two legs to our best bet, starting with backing former Everton man Dominic Calvert-Lewin to have a shot on target. 

He’s had a great season, scoring nine goals, and has had a shot on target in seven of the 10 away games he’s played. He’s also averaged 1.37 shots on target per 90 minutes played.

To complete our Same-Game Parlay, we’re taking Leeds’ Ethan Ampadu to get booked. The Welshman has been a strong defensive presence, but that can lead him to giving up a lot of fouls, as he’s averaged 1.21 per 90 minutes played in the league.

It’s no surprise that he’s now racked up seven yellows in just 19 games, including being booked in his past three games.

Everton vs Leeds odds

Everton vs Leeds live odds

Everton vs Leeds opening odds

  • Moneyline: Everton +140 | Leeds +200
  • Draw: +220
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (+110) | Under 2.5 (-154)

How to watch Everton vs Leeds

Location Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England
Date Monday, January 26, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV USA Network
Weather 41F, 13 mph winds, 20% PoP.
Everton  Recent EPL form W-D-L-W-D
Leeds  Recent EPL form W-L-D-D-D

Everton vs Leeds key injuries

Everton: Charly Alcaraz MID (Out), Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall MID (Out), Tim Iroegbunam CM (Out), Michael Keane CB (Out), Jarrad Branthwaite CB (Questionable), Jack Grealish FWR (Questionable).
Leeds: Jaka Bijol CB (Out), Daniel James FWR (Out), Anton Stach CM (Out), Gabriel Gudmundsson DEF (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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