Canada vs Ecuador Predictions, Picks & Odds for Thursday's International Friendly Match

Vasile's prediction: Expect a low-scoring affair at BMO.

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst
Nov 11, 2025 • 14:38 ET • 4 min read
Enner Valencia of Ecuador.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Enner Valencia of Ecuador.

The Canadian Men's National team continues its preparations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by hosting Ecuador in an International Friendly at BMO Field in Toronto. 

With a mixed bag of results of late, my Canada vs. Ecuador predictions expect a low-scoring affair. 

Find out why as I break down my free betting picks for Thursday, November 13. 

Canada vs Ecuador picks and predictions

My Canada vs Ecuador best bet: Under 2.5 goals (-167 at Sports Interaction)

Although it's less than ideal to lay -167 as a best bet, this line should be upwards of -200.

When you look at the Canadian side, they've been struggling for goals of late, only netting one goal across their last three friendly matches. A 0-0 draw last time out vs. Colombia saw the Canadiens manage just one shot on target (four overall) and an xG of 0.09. 

With a lineup that's ever-changing and missing some key pieces, I don't know how the Canadiens will generate any offense in this fixture. 

Ecuador are a formidable side, one that is riding a 13-match unbeaten run across all competitions, and that includes a win vs. Argentina and a draw vs. the mighty Brazil in CONMEBOL WC qualifying. 

While they may be enjoying great success in the results, they have scored just 11 goals across those 13 matches, with three conceded. They've played to the Under 2.5 goal mark in seven straight fixtures, with four games finishing 0-0.

Since there's little to play for outside of fitness, I expect a low-event type of game, one that favors the Under, especially in wet, rainy conditions. 

Canada vs Ecuador same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 2.5 goals

Ecuador moneyline

Under 10.5 corners

As I mentioned, Ecuador is enjoying a great run of results of late, and they are the toughest test Canada will have faced since losing to Mexico back in March in Nations League play. 

Ecuador has plenty of talent, and I wouldn't put it past them to nick a 1-0 result. 

As such, we will go Under 10.5 corners in a game that should be void of chances and played in the middle third of the pitch for prolonged periods.

Canada vs Ecuador odds

Canada vs Ecuador odds

Canada Canada Ecuador Ecuador
+160 Moneyline +170
+210 Draw +210
Over 2.5 (+114) Total Under 2.5 (-167)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

Canada vs Ecuador opening odds

  • Moneyline: Canada +160 | Ecuador +170
  • Draw: +210
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (+114) | Under 2.5 (-167)

How to watch Canada vs Ecuador

Location BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
Date Thursday, November 13, 2025
Time 7:30 p.m. ET
TV TSN
Weather Light rain. 

Canada vs Ecuador key injuries

Canada: Alphonso Davies (Out), Alistair Johnston (Out), Moise Bombito (Out), Sam Adekugbe (Out), Jacob Shaffelburg (Out), Liam Millar (Out), Luc de Fougerolles (Out).
Ecuador: None to report. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade, honing his craft as a writer, editor, and handicapper. Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet', BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid. He also runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

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