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    All Forums | College Football

    Freak Pics!!! (Week 1)

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    jimmydafreak
    HERMES
    vegas_cruncher1
    dugie243
    kaplan
    ...
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    Views: 9560
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    jimmydafreak
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 12:32 PM ET #1

    Excited about some football boys!!! 

    Before I get into my plays, let me give everyone a brief explanation how I wager.  I do this because I get questions about it every year.  The way I bet I could go 1 & 8 on my plays and still be up for the week.  Here's what I do.

    If I have a "Best Bet" I'll usually play those straight for 5 units.  If the game is my top play (but not a Best or Max bet) for a given time slot, then I'll usually play it for 2 or 3 units.  Then I will parlay that "Best Bet or top play with two other games, sometimes I may do more than one parlay.

    For example, Bama -21 (1st Half) is a "Best Bet" which means I'll play it for 5 units.  Then I will parlay Bama -21 (1st Half) with Bama OVER 46 and USF +10 for 1 unit.  I may also do two 2-team parlays with my "Best Bet" such as Bama -21 (1st Half) and Bama OVER 46, and Bama -21 (1st Half) and USF +10 for 1 unit each.  In that scenario I would have the following bets:

    Bama -21 (1st Half) straight for 5 Units

    3-team parlay with Bama -21 (1st Half) for 1 Unit.

    (2) 2-team parlays with Bama -21 (1st Half) and each of the other two teams in the 3-team parlay.

    Thus, if the Bama -21 (1st Half) is a winner, the worst I could do is be up 2 units.  If Bama -21 (1st Half) and one of my other games hits, then I'll be up 5.6 units.  And if all three games hit, then I'll be up 16.2 units.

    I normally do at least two of these 3-team plays on a given Saturday - one with the early games, and one with the late games.  Sometimes I'll do 3 of these on a given Saturday.

    Obviously in the above scenario, if my top play loses, all bets lose.  In the above example I would lose 8.5 units.

    What I do and how much I bet varies with how confident I am in my top play.  If I'm not real confident (or one play just doesn't stand out above the others), I may only bet 2 units on the top play and do a single 2 or 3-team parlay for 1 unit.

    A "Max Bet" game will always be 10 units.  A "Best Bet" will usually be 5 units.  A regular top play would be 2 or 3 units.  If I had a "Max Bet" for 10 units and that play hit, I may still be up for the day even if I go 0 for 8 on the other 8 plays.

    In sum, if my top plays hit for a given week, then I had a very good week.  If they don't hit, then I dropped major bank.

    My week 1 plays are as follows:

    Thursday Night:

    WKU +18 vs. Kentucky

    Saturday Early Games:

    Kent State @ Alabama -21 (1st Half) "Best Bet"

    Kent State @ Alabama OVER 46

    USF +10 @ Notre Dame

    Saturday Late Games:

    Boise State vs. Georgia +3.5 "Best Bet"

    Army @ Northern Illinois -10.5

    Rice @ Texas -24

    Monday Games:

    Marshall @ West Virginia -23

    SMU +15.5 @ Texas A&M

    Tuesday Game:

    Miami +3 @ Maryland

    Other games I like but am not playing:

    Wake Forest +6 @ Syracuse (might bite if I can get 7)

    Mississippi -31 @ Memphis (the number got away from me)

    Utah State @ Auburn -23 (heat game that I would play under 21)

    Miami Ohio +20.5 @ Missouri (would play at 21)

    Kent State Team Total UNDER

    Kent State @ Alabama -38

    Troy @ Clemson -16 (just like other games more)

    BYU @ Ole Miss +3 (heat game but not as bad because of the later start time)

    ECU @ USCjr -20.5 (think USC's defense slows ECU's offense down a lot; look ahead situation for USC)

    Ball State +6 @ Indiana (would consider playing at 7)

    Boise State Team Total UNDER

    Boise State vs. Georgia UNDER 51

    Oregon vs LSU +4 (just like other plays better)

    Oregon vs LSU UNDER 55 (just like other plays better)

    *** I'm also going to follow Tideman and do a small ML parlay of Georgia +3.5, LSU +4 & Ole Miss +3 

    If you have any questions about these plays, feel fee to hit me up.

     Best of luck to all!!! 

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Excited about some football boys!!! 

    Before I get into my plays, let me give everyone a brief explanation how I wager.  I do this because I get questions about it every year.  The way I bet I could go 1 & 8 on my plays and still be up for the week.  Here's what I do.

    If I have a "Best Bet" I'll usually play those straight for 5 units.  If the game is my top play (but not a Best or Max bet) for a given time slot, then I'll usually play it for 2 or 3 units.  Then I will parlay that "Best Bet or top play with two other games, sometimes I may do more than one parlay.

    For example, Bama -21 (1st Half) is a "Best Bet" which means I'll play it for 5 units.  Then I will parlay Bama -21 (1st Half) with Bama OVER 46 and USF +10 for 1 unit.  I may also do two 2-team parlays with my "Best Bet" such as Bama -21 (1st Half) and Bama OVER 46, and Bama -21 (1st Half) and USF +10 for 1 unit each.  In that scenario I would have the following bets:

    Bama -21 (1st Half) straight for 5 Units

    3-team parlay with Bama -21 (1st Half) for 1 Unit.

    (2) 2-team parlays with Bama -21 (1st Half) and each of the other two teams in the 3-team parlay.

    Thus, if the Bama -21 (1st Half) is a winner, the worst I could do is be up 2 units.  If Bama -21 (1st Half) and one of my other games hits, then I'll be up 5.6 units.  And if all three games hit, then I'll be up 16.2 units.

    I normally do at least two of these 3-team plays on a given Saturday - one with the early games, and one with the late games.  Sometimes I'll do 3 of these on a given Saturday.

    Obviously in the above scenario, if my top play loses, all bets lose.  In the above example I would lose 8.5 units.

    What I do and how much I bet varies with how confident I am in my top play.  If I'm not real confident (or one play just doesn't stand out above the others), I may only bet 2 units on the top play and do a single 2 or 3-team parlay for 1 unit.

    A "Max Bet" game will always be 10 units.  A "Best Bet" will usually be 5 units.  A regular top play would be 2 or 3 units.  If I had a "Max Bet" for 10 units and that play hit, I may still be up for the day even if I go 0 for 8 on the other 8 plays.

    In sum, if my top plays hit for a given week, then I had a very good week.  If they don't hit, then I dropped major bank.

    My week 1 plays are as follows:

    Thursday Night:

    WKU +18 vs. Kentucky

    Saturday Early Games:

    Kent State @ Alabama -21 (1st Half) "Best Bet"

    Kent State @ Alabama OVER 46

    USF +10 @ Notre Dame

    Saturday Late Games:

    Boise State vs. Georgia +3.5 "Best Bet"

    Army @ Northern Illinois -10.5

    Rice @ Texas -24

    Monday Games:

    Marshall @ West Virginia -23

    SMU +15.5 @ Texas A&M

    Tuesday Game:

    Miami +3 @ Maryland

    Other games I like but am not playing:

    Wake Forest +6 @ Syracuse (might bite if I can get 7)

    Mississippi -31 @ Memphis (the number got away from me)

    Utah State @ Auburn -23 (heat game that I would play under 21)

    Miami Ohio +20.5 @ Missouri (would play at 21)

    Kent State Team Total UNDER

    Kent State @ Alabama -38

    Troy @ Clemson -16 (just like other games more)

    BYU @ Ole Miss +3 (heat game but not as bad because of the later start time)

    ECU @ USCjr -20.5 (think USC's defense slows ECU's offense down a lot; look ahead situation for USC)

    Ball State +6 @ Indiana (would consider playing at 7)

    Boise State Team Total UNDER

    Boise State vs. Georgia UNDER 51

    Oregon vs LSU +4 (just like other plays better)

    Oregon vs LSU UNDER 55 (just like other plays better)

    *** I'm also going to follow Tideman and do a small ML parlay of Georgia +3.5, LSU +4 & Ole Miss +3 

    If you have any questions about these plays, feel fee to hit me up.

     Best of luck to all!!! 

     
    HERMES
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 12:35 PM ET #2

    Good Luck Jimbo! 
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    Good Luck Jimbo! 
     
    vegas_cruncher1
    vegas_cruncher1
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 12:36 PM ET #3

    nice looking card im on the same, im on dif plays on your not playing leans so thats good    bol
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    nice looking card im on the same, im on dif plays on your not playing leans so thats good    bol
     
    dugie243
    dugie243
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 12:38 PM ET #4

    freak

    can't believe the season is finally here bro







    GL to all
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    freak

    can't believe the season is finally here bro







    GL to all
     
    kaplan
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 12:39 PM ET #5

    Good luck with it Freak. Lean Texas and USF.
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    Good luck with it Freak. Lean Texas and USF.
     
    tideman
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 12:40 PM ET #6

    Best of luck Jimmy 

    I will making Bama 1st half a play as well as soon as I make another deposit to my account in a few hours.

     

     

     

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    Best of luck Jimmy 

    I will making Bama 1st half a play as well as soon as I make another deposit to my account in a few hours.

     

     

     

     
    LiveFastDieRich
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 12:50 PM ET #7

    GL this season Jimmy..really like that Bama 1H play
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    GL this season Jimmy..really like that Bama 1H play
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 12:51 PM ET #8

    I don't have team totals for Kent State and Bosie State, but will post them when Bookmaker puts them up.

    I appreciate the well wishes guys!!!

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    I don't have team totals for Kent State and Bosie State, but will post them when Bookmaker puts them up.

    I appreciate the well wishes guys!!!

     
    SatNightFever05
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 1:10 PM ET #9

    BOL

    On WVU with ya
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    BOL

    On WVU with ya
     
    kroch
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 1:17 PM ET #10

    BOL this year Jimmy.

    I like that Bama bet, but it's 21.5 at my book.  Thoughts?  May lay off now.

    On Texas and S. Florida with you.  Will be on SMU come Sunday as well.



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    BOL this year Jimmy.

    I like that Bama bet, but it's 21.5 at my book.  Thoughts?  May lay off now.

    On Texas and S. Florida with you.  Will be on SMU come Sunday as well.



     
    trackem
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 1:21 PM ET #11

    I wish I had pulled the trigger when Auburn was at 21 and bought the hook. live and learn.

    I love tidemans parlay too.

    Good luck jdf

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    I wish I had pulled the trigger when Auburn was at 21 and bought the hook. live and learn.

    I love tidemans parlay too.

    Good luck jdf

     
    elz24
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 1:29 PM ET #12

    good luck man... you really love the sec didnt see one pic agiasnt them
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    good luck man... you really love the sec didnt see one pic agiasnt them
     
    MarilynSon
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 1:47 PM ET #13

    Hey Fellas new here! Wishing everyone BOL!! Love the Bama play. Playing  Ga +3.5 (BIG PLAY 1 rack). Think the final should be around 31-20. Also, leaning towards the Wisc v. UNLV U/57 thinking that should be about 45-10 here.
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    Hey Fellas new here! Wishing everyone BOL!! Love the Bama play. Playing  Ga +3.5 (BIG PLAY 1 rack). Think the final should be around 31-20. Also, leaning towards the Wisc v. UNLV U/57 thinking that should be about 45-10 here.
     
    MarilynSon
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 1:51 PM ET #14

    Forgot also im on the O/49 WKU v. KEN
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    Forgot also im on the O/49 WKU v. KEN
     
    Laroja
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 1:51 PM ET #15

    I'm getting bama -20.5 first half at my book and bama Team total at 42.5 points. BOL
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    I'm getting bama -20.5 first half at my book and bama Team total at 42.5 points. BOL
     
    shakey12381
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 5:27 PM ET #16

    good luck this season jimmy love the insight on the sec
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    good luck this season jimmy love the insight on the sec
     
    jwheels86
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2011 - 5:37 PM ET #17

    You laying off Wake and the other games tonight?
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    You laying off Wake and the other games tonight?
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2011 - 12:13 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

    You laying off Wake and the other games tonight?

    WKU +18 is my only play tonight.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

    You laying off Wake and the other games tonight?

    WKU +18 is my only play tonight.

     

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2011 - 12:37 AM ET #19

    Thursday Night:

    WKU +18 vs. Kentucky 

    Not a bad start to the season!!!

     

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    Thursday Night:

    WKU +18 vs. Kentucky 

    Not a bad start to the season!!!

     

     
    LiveFastDieRich
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2011 - 12:41 AM ET #20

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    Johnnynumbers
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2011 - 12:55 AM ET #21

    BOL jimmy...I like the UGA and WVU plays...

    Might follow with the Bama 1H as well, since the full game scares me especially after the Wisky/ UNLV example why tonight...

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    BOL jimmy...I like the UGA and WVU plays...

    Might follow with the Bama 1H as well, since the full game scares me especially after the Wisky/ UNLV example why tonight...

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2011 - 1:04 AM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by Johnnynumbers:

    BOL jimmy...I like the UGA and WVU plays...

    Might follow with the Bama 1H as well, since the full game scares me especially after the Wisky/ UNLV example why tonight...

    Thanks!!!

    Whisky/UNLV won't happen in this game because Kent State won't score.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Johnnynumbers:

    BOL jimmy...I like the UGA and WVU plays...

    Might follow with the Bama 1H as well, since the full game scares me especially after the Wisky/ UNLV example why tonight...

    Thanks!!!

    Whisky/UNLV won't happen in this game because Kent State won't score.

     

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2011 - 1:06 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by kroch:

    BOL this year Jimmy.

    I like that Bama bet, but it's 21.5 at my book.  Thoughts?  May lay off now.

    On Texas and S. Florida with you.  Will be on SMU come Sunday as well.



    I would not be scared of -21.5.  I posted elsewhere that I would play it at anything south of 24.

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    Quote Originally Posted by kroch:

    BOL this year Jimmy.

    I like that Bama bet, but it's 21.5 at my book.  Thoughts?  May lay off now.

    On Texas and S. Florida with you.  Will be on SMU come Sunday as well.



    I would not be scared of -21.5.  I posted elsewhere that I would play it at anything south of 24.

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2011 - 1:16 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by elz24:

    good luck man... you really love the sec didnt see one pic agiasnt them

    The SEC is pretty much my specialty, and I have no problem fading SEC teams when I think that's the right side.

      I'm fading the a SEC team with my very 1st play of the season with WKU +18 

    I also liked Utah State when it was +28, but that number didn't hold up.  Now I like the other side because record breaking heat is forecasted on Saturday.  I like Ole Miss for the same reason.

    Overall this week I have 2 bets on SEC teams (both "Best Bets"), and 1 bet against a SEC team.

     BOL this season Elz!!! 

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    Quote Originally Posted by elz24:

    good luck man... you really love the sec didnt see one pic agiasnt them

    The SEC is pretty much my specialty, and I have no problem fading SEC teams when I think that's the right side.

      I'm fading the a SEC team with my very 1st play of the season with WKU +18 

    I also liked Utah State when it was +28, but that number didn't hold up.  Now I like the other side because record breaking heat is forecasted on Saturday.  I like Ole Miss for the same reason.

    Overall this week I have 2 bets on SEC teams (both "Best Bets"), and 1 bet against a SEC team.

     BOL this season Elz!!! 

     
     
    kaplan
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2011 - 3:10 AM ET #25

    Good Call on WKU.
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    Good Call on WKU.
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